inDe_eD wrote:Nolan wrote:
Yup. This is game was a prime example of Kawhi's importance. He covers up a lot of our flaws.
BombsquadSammy wrote:
I concur with your analysis. Coincidentally, I was arguing with someone on the GB MVP thread last night who was claiming that Leonard's importance to the Spurs is overblown and that LMA is the same 23-and-10 guy he was two years ago in Portland.
I wonder what he'd say after last night's Leonardless game.
Yea I saw that back and forth with Pepto Klepto. He's been touting raw on/off for MVP ranking all year, which is pretty ludicrous. I actually disagree with your take in that post Sammy, Kawhi has an argument, a very good one in fact, for MVP. PT-PM, which is about as advanced as you can get, has him neck and neck in the top 4 impact this year with KD, Chris Paul, and Curry:
http://fansided.com/2017/01/11/nylon-calculus-pt-pm-halfway-nba-season/^ And those numbers are before Kawhi went on his maniacal 30 point scoring streak, so you have to imagine he's in the lead or close to it now. The other 3 guys on the list are going to have narrative issues, i.e. Chris Paul is going to miss a lot of time, there are two warriors, so split votes (Draymond is top 10 too btw). Last night's performance just cements in my mind that no player in the league is giving as much lift to his team as Kawhi is. We're a 40-45 win time without Kawhi and a 60-65 win team with him.
Fair enough, and good analysis! Yeah, my point in the discussion with PK was just that any stat, taken out-of-context, can be used to make an argument, but that if that argument contravenes sufficient obvious evidence to the contrary, the method for arriving at the conclusion should be questioned. Just as raw on/off can be used to argue that Kawhi's not a candidate, so too can PTPM be used to argue that he's the
leading candidate, neither of which happens to be true
in my opinion.
And that last bolded bit is the rub: there will never be an official formula for determining the MVP. If there were, there'd be no discussion; just plug in the numbers and give the trophy to the guy the formula spits back out. It will always come down to how each voter weighs the raw stats, the advanced stats, and intangibles like the 'eye test.' In the aggregate, it's all about balance when it comes to evaluating both data and arguments, but ultimately...
