Tankapolooza: Draft Lottery Odds/Watch thread

Gomagic44 · Post #1801 » by **Gomagic44** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 4:50 am

MagicMatic wrote:Everyone prepared to miss Tatum by 1 pick to philly?

Suicide watch

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VFX · Post #1802 » by **VFX** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 5:10 am

JF5 wrote:
Magic_Johnny12 wrote:
OrlandoDream wrote:We have no need for Fox with Payton. I'm not his biggest fan, but I'd take Monk before Fox for this team.

Yea I'm on the Tatum or trade pick train.

Fox is redundant with Payton here and already showing a lot of promise and potential.

I would touch Issac with a 10 ft pole

Everyone else seems a reach unless someone drops to us. I would be fielding calls for a package centered around Fournier + #5 and filler.

I disagree with you comparing Fox with Payton. Fox is a lot more relentless, and can get to the rim at will and finish at every angle with each hand. He's more similar to John Wall/Prime Derek Rose. Plus, if you watched him during the tournament you'd realize he's a much more capable jumpshooter than Payton. That I feel like is a bit overblown...

For me he's the 2nd option if this team doesn't draft Dennis Smith Jr.

I don't want a "capable" shooter with pick 5/6 at point guard. Can we get some skill on this roster and stop settling for "capable"?

drsd · Post #1803 » by **drsd** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 6:12 am

arkknight1988 wrote:5th best odds. I'd take Fox or Tatum. I feel that a Fox and Gordon combo would be nasty.

The most likely outcome is the Magic draft 6th (36%). There is only a ~1/4 the Magic stay at 5. Indeed it is statistically more likely the Magic draft top-3 (29.1%). There is a less than 10% chance the Magic draft 7 (or 8).

The final odds for the Magic winning the lottery AND the Lakers falling out of the draft is a shade under 6%. Something like 1 in 17. That's the dream scenario for Magic fans.

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drsd · Post #1804 » by **drsd** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 6:15 am

MagicMatic wrote:I don't want a "capable" shooter with pick 5/6 at point guard. Can we get some skill on this roster and stop settling for "capable"?

Jackson and Tatum fit this "capable" meaning, I assume, you favor Isaac at SF.

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pepe1991 · Post #1805 » by **pepe1991** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 6:31 am

drsd wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:I don't want a "capable" shooter with pick 5/6 at point guard. Can we get some skill on this roster and stop settling for "capable"?

Jackson and Tatum fit this "capable" meaning, I assume, you favor Isaac at SF.

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What is Isaac's nba skill at SF? Inability to drive left or inability to finish through contact? :rofl:

Post #1806 » by **ChosenSavior** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 6:33 am

All I have left to give right now... つ ◕_◕ ༽つ PING PONG BALLS TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ

PrimeThyme · Post #1807 » by **PrimeThyme** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 6:38 am

MagicMatic wrote:Everyone prepared to miss Tatum by 1 pick to philly?

Sadly, yes. Philly deserves Tatum. They went full tank mode the last half of the season. Our coach is all about "good Karma" and didn't have the balls to do it. We don't deserve Tatum.

cedric76 · Post #1808 » by **cedric76** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 7:26 am

ok lets trade this pick to indiana

drsd · Post #1809 » by **drsd** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:00 am

pepe1991 wrote:
drsd wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:I don't want a "capable" shooter with pick 5/6 at point guard. Can we get some skill on this roster and stop settling for "capable"?

Jackson and Tatum fit this "capable" meaning, I assume, you favor Isaac at SF.

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What is Isaac's nba skill at SF?

This question is self-answered but the topic: Isaac is a lights-out jump shooter and projects to be exactly what the Magic need at the SF slot (on offense). He also plays hard and can defend. If Isaac becomes a 2-5 from the three-ball game in and game out, a 12 ppg scoring line is fine.

Magic already have drivers in Payton and Gordon. What the team needs is perimeter scoring from the SG and SF posts.

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DiplomaticMagic · Post #1810 » by **DiplomaticMagic** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:03 am

WTF, not only did we lose 4th best odds, but the Toronto pick is now at 26???

What a **** nightmare end of the season.

drsd · Post #1811 » by **drsd** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:06 am

ChosenSavior wrote:All I have left to give right now... つ ◕_◕ ༽つ PING PONG BALLS TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ

ᕦ(ò_óˇ)ᕤ

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drsd · Post #1812 » by **drsd** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:25 am

DiplomaticMagic wrote:.... the Toronto pick is now at 26???

The Cavs, Raptors, Jazz, and Clippers are all tied for their draft slot.

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shadrock · Post #1813 » by **shadrock** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:50 am

So, how the hell does a four way coin flip work?

Nemesis21 · Post #1814 » by **Nemesis21** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:53 am

We deserve not to get one of the top 4 players :banghead:

DiplomaticMagic · Post #1815 » by **DiplomaticMagic** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 8:58 am

shadrock wrote:So, how the hell does a four way coin flip work?

I think one of the rules is the least valuable pick goes to the Magic.

Skin · Post #1816 » by **Skin** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:18 am

cedric76 · Post #1817 » by **cedric76** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:05 am

Karma is a word I can't say." -Frank Vogel

Said he believes in the basketball gods. Competed and got George and Turner at 10 and 11

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pepe1991 · Post #1818 » by **pepe1991** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 10:11 am

drsd wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:
drsd wrote:
Jackson and Tatum fit this "capable" meaning, I assume, you favor Isaac at SF.

..

What is Isaac's nba skill at SF?

This question is self-answered but the topic: Isaac is a lights-out jump shooter and projects to be exactly what the Magic need at the SF slot (on offense). He also plays hard and can defend. If Isaac becomes a 2-5 from the three-ball game in and game out, a 12 ppg scoring line is fine.

Magic already have drivers in Payton and Gordon. What the team needs is perimeter scoring from the SG and SF posts.

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Because shooting 34,8% at college level from 3 point line is definition of lights out shooting. By same standards Winslow was about to become new Curry with his 41% for 3 at college level. That went well... oh ..wait...

Xatticus · Post #1819 » by **Xatticus** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 11:33 am

Dennis Reynolds wrote:smth to cheer us up

Read on Twitter

Who was that shooting at 1:12? That's embarrassing.

1eyedjake · Post #1820 » by **1eyedjake** » Thu Apr 13, 2017 11:48 am

drsd wrote:

The final odds for the Magic winning the lottery AND the Lakers falling out of the draft is a shade under 6%. Something like 1 in 17. That's the dream scenario for Magic fans.

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Yes. That's by far the best scenario.
I'm cheering for Philly as well as us. If Philly gets two picks it may really set them up (depending on health.) They could add some kind of combination of Fultz / Monk or Tatum / Monk, etc... and really add some perimeter scoring around Simmons and Embiid.

As for us, it sets us up better also as we obviously would then get the '19 LAL pick. We need a perimeter scorer like Fultz just as much, if not more, of course.