Vorda wrote:Nuntius wrote:Vorda wrote:I Know that top 5 pick doesn’t guarantee a star, but still brings better chances than 12 pick
Not necessarily. Take a look at this list -> http://www.82games.com/nbadraftpicks.htm
This list only compiles 20 years worth of data (1989-2009) but it's still a good indication that draft position doesn't necessarily correlate with team success. Just take a look at picks #6 and #14 generating around the same number of stars.
PS: I'm sure there's a list somewhere that is looking at more modern drafts but I cannot find it right now.
We already know who are the top prospects at draft... and all they have pretty good chances to become a stars... Dončić, Porter, Ayton, Bamba, Bridges... I would rather try with one of them then win some unimportant games this year...
Top prospects don't always pan out, though. Sometimes the players that aren't quite at the top become superstars. You don't need to look further than Paul George (#10 pick) and Kawhi Leonard (#15 pick) to see that.
Plus, the draft board is going to be different when the draft comes around. Players rise and fall through the ranks all the time depending on injuries, performance and a lot of other reasons.
And to clarify my position, I'm not saying that I will be sad if we have the #3 pick. I'm just saying that we shouldn't intentionally lose to get the #3 pick.