RRyder823 wrote:WRau1 wrote:Lippo wrote:so who wants to calculate all the sceanrios .... who gets in a 3 or 4 way tie at 10-6 or 9-7, etc
Falcons
Packers
Panthers
Seahawks
Lions
we have breaker over Hawks
Falcons have it over us
YBD - Panthers & Lions
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/upshot/green-bay-packers-nfl-playoff-picture.html
So winning out gives them a 93% chance. Not bad.
That's one hell of an algorithm though. I like it
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You have to pick the rest of the games, I picked the Packers to win out and it said 93%, after I picked the rest of the games it went to 0% which sounds about right.
The Packers are 2 games behind the team currently in the 7th spot (ATL) with 4 games to play, the Packers might have a 93% chance if they let 8 teams in.
If we're talking about winning out and %'s , that loss to the Steelers probably dropped us from like 80% to %5.