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2018 Draft: Most likely busts

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2018 Draft Busts (pick 2)

DeAndre Ayton
8
9%
Michael Porter
10
11%
Marvin Bagley
14
15%
Jaren Jackson
7
8%
Mohamed Bamba
13
14%
Luka Doncic
11
12%
Trae Young
30
32%
 
Total votes: 93

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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#81 » by drsd » Thu Mar 15, 2018 9:37 am

HoopsMalone wrote:Luka Doncic will NOT be a bust. That's impossible


Dončić is a safe choice. I think many here follow "upside." Dončić has no "upside" because he is already at a 20 ppg level of capacity for the NBA.

But there is one path for him to bust: injury. One never knows.


Edit: whereas Mitchell has a chance for 20 ppg in 2017, Embiid had a 20 ppg season in 2016, but was not qualified. The last true 20 ppg rookie was Griffin in 2010. I expect Dončić to be the next such rookie.


,,.
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#82 » by Mauro Pedrosa » Thu Mar 15, 2018 5:10 pm

Bagley & Porter (health)
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#83 » by HoopsMalone » Fri Mar 16, 2018 2:01 am

RookieStar wrote:
Stribor wrote:I bet Bagley will be Okafor 2.0 Athletically great for the game that was played 20 years ago ...


Say what? Aren't they polar opposites in terms of athleticism and motor? Weren't some poster claiming Okafor wouldn't even jump and here you have Bagley doing 3 jumps already while the man guarding him hasn't even landed from his 2nd jump. The guy was throwing lobs at himself over the backboard for the jam while the other won't even box out for the rebound.


Bagley is well suited for this era. Okafor is the guy you'd want 25-30 years ago. Bagley will be very good. That dude is a problem
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#84 » by HoopsMalone » Fri Mar 16, 2018 2:04 am

Bob8 wrote:Just for fun try to forget MPJ is MPJ, look at his game and his body. Forget his missed shots, they’re normal after being out that long. What do you see?
Is that how franchise changing prospect should look?



Frankly, Porter was never a franchise changing prospect. Even before the injury. No one is quite sure where the hype ends and the substance begins with that guy.

He's got a shot to be a starter in the league. But I wouldn't bet my eggroll on it.
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#85 » by VFX » Fri Mar 16, 2018 5:52 am

MagicMatic wrote:
MagicFan101 wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:
Yeah are you sure he isn’t comparing Ayton to Okafor? Ayton is Okafor with an outside shot. Neither are stellar defensively in college.

It’s a lazy comparison because they both went to Duke. Bagley has a ridiculous motor and does all the little things those two don’t do.


That is a far lazier comparison than the Bagley-Okafor Duke reference.

Okafor is a 6’10 smart big man who plays bigger than he is. Ayton is a 7’1, true center with a 7’6 wingspan who can score from anywhere on the floor and hit free throws at a 75% rate. Notice that I sat SCORE, not just SHOOT as you said. Ayton can create offense for himself down low, mid-range and hit open 3-s.

He gobbles rebounds like peanuts. Yes, he needs a lot of work on rim protection and hat has to be factored in when risking such a high pick on him. But don’t undersell what he does well. It translates to every generation.


I’m not really comparing how they score as much as I’m comparing what they both don’t do at the college level. Which is play defense.

So, It doesn’t matter to me at all what Ayton accomplishes in college on the offensive end. If he struggles to do what Centers are required to do in the nba to stay on the floor, he’s a bust with pick #1.


Just thought I’d bump my own post for reference. :thinking:
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#86 » by MagicFan101 » Fri Mar 16, 2018 1:42 pm

MagicMatic wrote:
MagicMatic wrote:
MagicFan101 wrote:
That is a far lazier comparison than the Bagley-Okafor Duke reference.

Okafor is a 6’10 smart big man who plays bigger than he is. Ayton is a 7’1, true center with a 7’6 wingspan who can score from anywhere on the floor and hit free throws at a 75% rate. Notice that I sat SCORE, not just SHOOT as you said. Ayton can create offense for himself down low, mid-range and hit open 3-s.

He gobbles rebounds like peanuts. Yes, he needs a lot of work on rim protection and hat has to be factored in when risking such a high pick on him. But don’t undersell what he does well. It translates to every generation.


I’m not really comparing how they score as much as I’m comparing what they both don’t do at the college level. Which is play defense.

So, It doesn’t matter to me at all what Ayton accomplishes in college on the offensive end. If he struggles to do what Centers are required to do in the nba to stay on the floor, he’s a bust with pick #1.


Just thought I’d bump my own post for reference. :thinking:


We saw what we know. He wasn’t dominant offensively yesterday the way we have come to expect but one game doesn’t change the needle much for any player. Ayton is still a top 2 pick.
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#87 » by nymets1 » Fri Mar 16, 2018 5:18 pm

Ayton could definitely become a bust as well as Bamba. The NBA has moved away from centers and is usually dominated by guards and wings. Not only our top pick but I hope all our draft picks, we draft guards and wings, NO CENTERS.
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#88 » by MagicFan101 » Fri Mar 16, 2018 5:31 pm

HoopsMalone wrote:
Bob8 wrote:Just for fun try to forget MPJ is MPJ, look at his game and his body. Forget his missed shots, they’re normal after being out that long. What do you see?
Is that how franchise changing prospect should look?



Frankly, Porter was never a franchise changing prospect. Even before the injury. No one is quite sure where the hype ends and the substance begins with that guy.

He's got a shot to be a starter in the league. But I wouldn't bet my eggroll on it.


If you meant to say “franchise changing player” then sure but since none of them have played a game in the NBA yet you can say that for anyone.

As a PROSPECT we all have opinions but prior the injury Porter was as high or higher a PROSPECT than anyone else in the draft. Your value as a PROSPECT is defined by hype and speculation alone. Therefore your statement is completely false.

Along with the natural concerns that come from an injury like that, this injury has exposed some work ethic concerns related to how much he wants to be his best based on how he has fought to return. That might be more alarming than the injury itself.

But don’t kid yourself. A healthy and motivated MPjr (which may not exist) is as good or better a PROSPECT than anyone in this class.
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#89 » by Skin » Fri Mar 16, 2018 8:22 pm

I voted for Doncic. I just can't see him matching his hype. Will he be a Superstar? I don't see it. He doesn't have a size or athleticism advantage at his position. I love his smarts and his gritty style... I also love his vision. However, all that does for me is raise his floor and I think he'll definitely be a very good player in this league. Just not the transcendent talent he is being touted as. I'll say this though... if he ends up being an NBA PG, I think there is more room for upside in his profile. At PG, I would liken him to Goran Dragic who I've wanted on the Magic for a long time. At SG, I would liken him to Dion Waiters... another feisty SG with good assist numbers and limited athleticism....capable of lighting up the scoreboard on certain nights.

Not surprised by the Young votes. He's a wild mustang in the roaming free plains of Oklahoma. Most definitely needs to be corralled in some, but there's too much there for me to envision him being a bust. He may not become a Superstar either, but I don't think people are putting that label on him anymore either. So as far as meeting expectations go, I think he actually has a good chance to surpass the common thought out there on him.

1) Ball handling - You can't take that away from him. He's got the ball on a string and can maneuver anywhere he wants on the court with the ball in his hands.

2) Vision - Leading the nation in assists is no common feat. Doing it surrounded by the level of talent of his teammates and it's a modern day miracle. His court vision and passing skills should also translate to the NBA.

3) Scoring - There's a difference between a shooter and a scorer. Shooters can get hot or cold... play off the ball... or have to take shots from their sweet spots. Scorers attack. They have a fierce mentality of finding ways to put the ball in the basket and aren't afraid of taking big shots. Kevin Durant once commented on Oladipo saying how it's a talent just to put up a high amount of FGs. Young's shooting can be hot or cold, but he always delivers in the scoring department and that is bolstered by his high FT attemps. Something that reflects his attacking mentality.

4) Coachability - We have seen Young's willingness to accommodate his team by sacrificing his play and listening to his coach. With NBA level coaching, I think Young has the right attitude and composition to accept coaching and hopefully with the right coach, make the right adjustments to his game to make him a more impactful.

Things that go against him are his size and defense, but neither are required for stardom in terms of NBA PGs. Contrarily, good defensive PGs that don't bring the offense don't reach stardom.
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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#90 » by VFX » Fri Mar 16, 2018 9:38 pm

Skin wrote:I voted for Doncic. I just can't see him matching his hype. Will he be a Superstar? I don't see it. He doesn't have a size or athleticism advantage at his position. I love his smarts and his gritty style... I also love his vision. However, all that does for me is raise his floor and I think he'll definitely be a very good player in this league. Just not the transcendent talent he is being touted as. I'll say this though... if he ends up being an NBA PG, I think there is more room for upside in his profile. At PG, I would liken him to Goran Dragic who I've wanted on the Magic for a long time. At SG, I would liken him to Dion Waiters... another feisty SG with good assist numbers and limited athleticism....capable of lighting up the scoreboard on certain nights.

Not surprised by the Young votes. He's a wild mustang in the roaming free plains of Oklahoma. Most definitely needs to be corralled in some, but there's too much there for me to envision him being a bust. He may not become a Superstar either, but I don't think people are putting that label on him anymore either. So as far as meeting expectations go, I think he actually has a good chance to surpass the common thought out there on him.

1) Ball handling - You can't take that away from him. He's got the ball on a string and can maneuver anywhere he wants on the court with the ball in his hands.

2) Vision - Leading the nation in assists is no common feat. Doing it surrounded by the level of talent of his teammates and it's a modern day miracle. His court vision and passing skills should also translate to the NBA.

3) Scoring - There's a difference between a shooter and a scorer. Shooters can get hot or cold... play off the ball... or have to take shots from their sweet spots. Scorers attack. They have a fierce mentality of finding ways to put the ball in the basket and aren't afraid of taking big shots. Kevin Durant once commented on Oladipo saying how it's a talent just to put up a high amount of FGs. Young's shooting can be hot or cold, but he always delivers in the scoring department and that is bolstered by his high FT attemps. Something that reflects his attacking mentality.

4) Coachability - We have seen Young's willingness to accommodate his team by sacrificing his play and listening to his coach. With NBA level coaching, I think Young has the right attitude and composition to accept coaching and hopefully with the right coach, make the right adjustments to his game to make him a more impactful.

Things that go against him are his size and defense, but neither are required for stardom in terms of NBA PGs. Contrarily, good defensive PGs that don't bring the offense don't reach stardom.


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Re: 2018 Draft: Most likely busts 

Post#91 » by Skin » Fri Mar 16, 2018 11:03 pm

MagicMatic wrote:
Skin wrote:I voted for Doncic. I just can't see him matching his hype. Will he be a Superstar? I don't see it. He doesn't have a size or athleticism advantage at his position. I love his smarts and his gritty style... I also love his vision. However, all that does for me is raise his floor and I think he'll definitely be a very good player in this league. Just not the transcendent talent he is being touted as. I'll say this though... if he ends up being an NBA PG, I think there is more room for upside in his profile. At PG, I would liken him to Goran Dragic who I've wanted on the Magic for a long time. At SG, I would liken him to Dion Waiters... another feisty SG with good assist numbers and limited athleticism....capable of lighting up the scoreboard on certain nights.

Not surprised by the Young votes. He's a wild mustang in the roaming free plains of Oklahoma. Most definitely needs to be corralled in some, but there's too much there for me to envision him being a bust. He may not become a Superstar either, but I don't think people are putting that label on him anymore either. So as far as meeting expectations go, I think he actually has a good chance to surpass the common thought out there on him.

1) Ball handling - You can't take that away from him. He's got the ball on a string and can maneuver anywhere he wants on the court with the ball in his hands.

2) Vision - Leading the nation in assists is no common feat. Doing it surrounded by the level of talent of his teammates and it's a modern day miracle. His court vision and passing skills should also translate to the NBA.

3) Scoring - There's a difference between a shooter and a scorer. Shooters can get hot or cold... play off the ball... or have to take shots from their sweet spots. Scorers attack. They have a fierce mentality of finding ways to put the ball in the basket and aren't afraid of taking big shots. Kevin Durant once commented on Oladipo saying how it's a talent just to put up a high amount of FGs. Young's shooting can be hot or cold, but he always delivers in the scoring department and that is bolstered by his high FT attemps. Something that reflects his attacking mentality.

4) Coachability - We have seen Young's willingness to accommodate his team by sacrificing his play and listening to his coach. With NBA level coaching, I think Young has the right attitude and composition to accept coaching and hopefully with the right coach, make the right adjustments to his game to make him a more impactful.

Things that go against him are his size and defense, but neither are required for stardom in terms of NBA PGs. Contrarily, good defensive PGs that don't bring the offense don't reach stardom.


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:lol: maybe I'm wrong, wouldn't be the first time.

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