MrDollarBills wrote:Roy Tarpley wrote:Prokorov wrote:
FG% is one of the most irrelevant stats. TS% and 3pt% are much more valuable. what he did in the past isnt super relevant. I agree, he needs to do this consistently to assume progress, but he has been injured and hasnt had that luxury. we will need to see how he does in april and to start next season. but he has certainly looked better in march then he did earlier in the year. taking better shots, taking more threes, making more threes, more assits, etc..
Other then RHJ dinwiddie is easily the teams most improved player.... throwing away his raw/absolute numbers makes no sense. those are extremely telling. also saying "thats a function of playing time" alone proves he improved... you get more playing time by being a better player. he also is among the NBA leader in assist to turnover ratio. last year he was a hot mess most of the year, this year he has been a really solid point gaurd with some flashes of brilliance. he made everyone forget about lin with his solid PG play.
his shooting % are down... thats happens to most players when you drastically incrase their volume.
- FG% is not irrelevant, it is a helpful stat in conjunction with other stats. TS% can be unhelpful because you don't know if the TS% is high because of FG%, 3PT%, or FT%. Jarrett Allen has a TS% of 63% based mostly on dunks and good FT%; Steph Curry has a TS% of 68% based on high FG, 3PT, and FT but based off of just the TS%, you can't tell whether Jarrett shoots 3PTers at all. You need all the stats.
- Dinwiddie got more playing time because he was the only PG available when DLo went down. How can you argue with a straight face that Dinwiddie is easily the team's most improved player other than RHJ? Harris can make an argument for most improved. So can Levert. Dinwiddie wasn't a hot mess last year, he's was just a little tentative on his shots.
Dinwiddie is shooting 53% TS this year compared to 58% last year. His DBPM is worse this year, his DRtg is worse this year. He made everyone forget about Lin with his play around Dec and Jan, but with the way he's playing now, I'm thinking that Lin actually has a chance of starting again! And you know me, I was adamant earlier that Lin's injury would force him to be a bench player at best, with 12mpg. That's how bad I think Dinwiddie has gotten over the last month since Dlo came back.
I understand that shooting percentages go down with volume but that doesn't mean you have to accept it. Dinwiddie has one of the lowest shooting percentages of any starting PG in the league -- people who shoot 38% FG usually don't last in the league that long.
Dinwiddie needs to clean up his efficiency but you cannot deny he was better overall this year than last year. He played some big time minutes for this team, hit some big shots as well.
Also, I think you need to remember that Lin is coming back from a serious injury at an age where his body may not bounce back in the way that you think it may, it may not be that simple. I have no expectations from him next year other than the hopes that he'll have a year of decent health. Saying that he can beat out Spencer isn't a surefire thing especially if he lost explosiveness off of the dribble.
Spencer also played pretty decently yesterday. He has his ups and downs just like any other young player on the team, I can't predict him playing poorly next year based off of a rough stretch.
It's like every time someone goes through a down moment people just give up on them. No one could have predicted that RHJ would become the guy who is the best overall player on the floor every night for this team last year. He's 33-34% from 3PT land shot away from becoming a 20ppg a night player. He has had plenty of down moments but they weren't an indicator of what's to come. I'd give Dinwiddie, Russell, etc some time before giving up.
Yeah, the genesis of this discussion for me was when Prok said "every. single. young. player. took big strides forward this year."
Maybe I misinterpreted what he said but I assumed the added emphasis of the periods meant that he was saying that each young player took big strides as a whole . . . which I disagree with.
As a whole, I think Dinwiddie treaded water. He played some big games and had some big moments but his shooting efficiency is WAY down and his defensive numbers are down as well. The most I could say for Dinwiddie was that he demonstrated greater confidence and command during a 2 month stretch but that overall, his percentages and defense are a step back from last year.
Regarding Lin, if you look at the Lin thread, you'll notice that I am about as sober as any Lin fan can be regarding his injury. People are saying that you need to give Lin a chance, but I have to keep on being the debbie downer and say that the track record of recovery from patellar tendon ruptures is not good. I never said that Lin beating out Spencer was a sure fire thing. I said, "[with how poorly Dinwiddie is playing,] I'm thinking that Lin actually has a chance of starting again!" The exclamation point connotes a bit of tongue in cheek, and even then, I'm qualifying my statement by saying that it's just a "chance."
I'm not giving up on Dinwiddie or Dlo. I still want to see how they do the rest of the year and all of next year.
My main point is that Dinwiddie and Dlo did not. take. big. strides. this. year. On the other hand, RHJ, Levert, and Harris did, and I can point to specific numbers to demonstrate how they did. In fact, I'd argue that Joe Harris made the overall greatest improvement -- incredible offensive improvement and basically stayed the same defensively. RHJ's defensive numbers dipped a bit this year and regarding his offense, his per36 are generally the same compared to last year, except his FG% is higher, his FT% is higher, and his points total is higher. RHJ is getting to the line a little more and his mid-range has improved a lot.