Post#1777 » by drsd » Sun Oct 21, 2018 9:52 am
UCF needs two of these three things to happen:
Notre Dame to falter. The B12 to self-eliminate. The B10 to self-eliminate.
As the Knights profit from an upset above them, here are the tough games on the schedules to consider. Only no-loss and one-loss teams considered.
Alabama:
Nov 3 @LSU
Nov 10 vs Mississippi State
Nov 24 vs Auburn
Dec 01 SEC championship game
From a UCF perspective, it is best that Alabama simply wins out ensuring an LSU loss and all SEC-East teams are probable for 2-losses
...
OSU:
Nov 10 @Michigan State
Nov 24 vs Michigan
Dec 01 B10 championship game
From a UCF perspective, winning at home probably eliminates Michigan. And then a loss in the B10 championship game creates only 2-loss teams in the B10.
...
Clemson:
Nov 10 @Boston College
Dec 01 ACC championship game
From a UCF perspective, Clemson winning out ensures no other ACC team makes the playoffs. If Clemson wins out in the regular season and then loses to ACC-Costal team on 01 Dec., that creates chaos for the seeding.
...
Notre Dame:
Nov 17 vs Syracuse
Nov 24 @USC
From a UCF perspective, all Notre Dame losses are good. Even a single loss make the media consider how weak the Irish' season was.
...
LSU:
Nov 3 vs Alabama
Nov 24 @Texas A&M
Dec 01 SEC championship game
From a UCF perspective, it is best that LSU takes a loss to Alabama. But a loss in the championship game is also useful, if a bit chaotic. (A one-loss Florida/Georgia team probably leapfrogs UCF).
...
Michigan:
Nov 3 vs Penn State
Nov 24 @Ohio State
Dec 01 B10 championship game
From a UCF perspective, one more loss is golden.
...
Texas:
no regular season games of note: mediocre challenges every week though
Dec 01 Big 12 championship game
From a UCF perspective, any Texas loss is very helpful.
...
Georgia:
Oct 27 vs Florida
Nov 3 @Kentucky
Nov 10 vs Auburn
Dec 01 SEC championship game
From a UCF perspective, the Knights need the Bulldogs to not succeed in this brutal schedule. One more loss!
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Oklahoma:
Nov 24 @West Virginia
Dec 01 Big 12 championship game
From a UCF perspective, any Oklahoma loss is very helpful.
...
West Virginia:
Oct 26 vs Baylor
Nov 3 @Texas
Nov 24 vs Oklahoma
From a UCF perspective, considering no-one in their right mind has the Mountaineers winning both the Texas and Oklahoma matchups, winning one of these two would be Ace.
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Florida:
Oct 27 vs Georgia
Dec 01 SEC championship game
From a UCF perspective, ideally Georgia wins. Otherwise UCF really, really needs Florida to lose to Alabama/LSU in the SEC title.
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Kentucky:
Oct 27 @Missouri
Nov 3 vs Georgia
Dec 01 SEC championship game
From a UCF perspective, as with Florida. Just a single loss anywhere.
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Iowa:
Oct 27 @Penn State
18 Penn State
Nov 3 @Purdue
Dec 01 B10 championship game
From a UCF perspective, how would the selection committee look at a one-loss Iowa? Seriously, this weak schedule is still perhaps enough for the Hawkeyes to overtake the Knights. So one loss would be ideal.
...
Washington State:
Oct 28 @Stanford
Nov 10 @Colorado
Nov 24 vs Washington
Nov 30 P10 championship game
From a UCF perspective, only Washington State can make the playoffs. So a single loss is required in their brutal schedule.
...
And the team getting NO PRESS on the playoff race:
South Florida:
Oct 27 @Houston
Nov 10 @Cincinnati
Nov 17 @Temple
Nov 23 vs UCF
Dec 01 ACC championship game
Frankly if the Bulls win out, it is the same discussion as if the Knights win out. Their schedule is tough and ideally for the Knights they are undefeated to the WAR on I4.
..
This year I feel the bias has been in our favor with the exception of this last week. I do feel we’ve hit the ceiling a bit for where they are comfortable ranking us this early.
