This is kind of how I've processed the prospects in our range:
Shooters that Can Shoot:
1. Nickeil Alexander Walker
2. Tyler Herro
3. Keldon Johnson
NAW doesn't particularly excel at one thing, but is good at a lot of them. Good shooter, good passer, good ball handler, and plus defender. He lacks the explosiveness or athleticism to ever see him becoming a star player. He's pretty frail at the moment. But, similar to his cousin SGA, he's solid all-around. He plays with a high IQ and plays the within himself. I like the potential of him being able to play some point guard.
Herro only shot 35% from 3, but it's clear that he can shoot. He played the offensive end with good competitiveness, but left a lot to be desired on the defensive end. His lack of length and defensive prowess make me hesitant about this pick. But, he might have potential to be a floor spacer and threat from 3. His free throw % and 2point % are good indicators. He can play well without the ball as well. Wouldn't be upset with this pick. But, I like how much more dynamic NAW is.
Johnson shot 38% from 3. He's a bit more dynamic a scorer than Herro. He's really competitive and plays with great effort. He has the physical tools to be a good defender, but was just okay on that end this year. He's not a great ball handler and not a great playmaker. But there's 3&D potential there down the road.
Shooters that Can't Shoot:
1. Romeo Langford
2. Kevin Porter Jr.
Langford was a top recruit coming out of school, and his MO was scoring. He shot the ball poorly from 3 (only 27%), but I don't think his form is that unworkable. And he had a few games this year where he put IU on his back and kept them afloat with his scoring. Despite his poor 3 point shooting, he had flashes. He’s agile with or without the ball, and has a quick first step. He has innate scoring instincts with the way he creates space with his crossover and step backs, and absorbing contact at the rim.
KPJ shot 41% from 3, but only on 68 attempts. But his form is ugly and only shot 52% from the free throw line. Similar to Langford, he has these flashes and moves that have the look of a star scoring guard. Neither NAW nor Herro have those moves in their arsenal, but they're good at the moves they do have.
I wouldn't be shocked if one of Langford or Porter Jr. ends up figuring it out and becoming star guards at some point. I could also see them flaming out of the league, and I'd probably bet on the latter.
Athlete that Can't Shoot...Yet?
1. Nas Little
I keep coming back to Little. He was a top flight recruit out of high school for a reason. He does everything well except shoot, but he occasionally pulled out a mid-range J and shot free throws well at 77%. I've become so resistant to drafting this kind of player after all the poor shooters the Magic have drafted since 2014, but if you're going to take a swing on a guy who could one day develop star potential, it might be Little. He has the physical profile and athleticism to defend at a high level. He plays a selfless and high intensity game. He reminds me of Jonathan Isaac in this way. If he ever were to develop a 3 point shot, he'll be the best player of this bunch. He reminds me of OG Anunoby. By all accounts, he's a high character guy as well. If you're going to bet on anyone learning to shoot, it might be him. I could easily see Weltman and Hammond taking a swing on the Florida native here.
8 days out and I'm between NAW and Little. NAW is the safe pick and fills some holes. But Little probably has the higher ceiling. Maybe Little isn't available to make that decision easier. If I had to pick right now, I'd probably go with NAW.