RRyder823 wrote:TOs are included in the ppp stat. 1 ppp is worse then what Giannis currently generates. It doesnt factor in offensive rebounds or assists so ultimately 1 ppp is actually alot worse per possession for Giannis on average. Allowing him to do that all game long quite litterally limits the points he generates while not actually having to do anything on defense. Outside of allowing Giannis to be fresher on defense (which is negated by them not expending energy on defense themselves) theres not really a legitimate reason to guard him if hes only shooting 33% on wide open 3s
Also there is always an in between. If he wants to conserve energy a few possessions a game by all means Giannis let it fly. Not to mention shooting 3-4 3s a game could eventually lead to him shooting them at a high enough percentage to actually get guys to meet him at the 3pt line outside of a few rare bone headed examples. That percentage is significantly higher then 30% though.
You keep on saying "if he can get to 30%" but It's not "if" he gets to 30%. Hes already been shooting over that from 3.
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Giannis has been shooting 25.6% from 3 in the past season on 3 attempts per game. There is a huge difference between 25.6% on 3 attempts and 30% on 8 attempts. Just cause you're focussing on a selective sample size doesn't make it true. He's not currently shooting over 30% from 3. Thus teams aren't defending him on the 3 point line.
And no, TOs and are not included in FG%. I have no idea what you're stating cause you're making it unclear - thus I can't say for sure that you're wrong or right. FG% purely reflects shot attempts and how often they go in. TS% is a fracture of points and FGA + FTA, so again no TO. PPP is points divided by possessions, while possessions is defined by FGA + FTA + TOV, yet it doesn't reflect when the TOV occured, penalizing ball handlers. That's why it's a flawed stat imo and TS% is better used (if any). For the record Giannis had a PPP of 1.1 last season and a TS% of 64%. What neither stat is reflecting either is when Giannis goes inside, sees a wall, picks up his dribble and is forced to pass out leading to a bad shot or possibly even a turnover. Nor is reflected what happens if Giannis goes inside, sees a wall and passes to the wide open teammate. Also it doesn't isolate his driving attempts and instead e.g. includes his putback attempts too, which obviously will be very successful. I'm not suggesting that he should take the ball outside and shoot a 3 when he gets an offensive board mind you. If you truely isolate situations where Giannis takes a shot attempt inside when the defense is set and sagging off him, his PPP (the stat you favour) will be much less than 1. So no, a 3 at a reasonable clip won't be less beneficial to team success than taking it inside all the time.
What I'm saying is that you can't look at a single stat and make a deduction from it. I'm not saying that Giannis should pass up going to the rim when he has a lane. I'm saying when the defense is sagging and already forming a wall, possibly baiting Giannis to take it inside, he should let it fly. And there is no team in the NBA that will consistently give him a slightly less than currently deemed efficient shot with zero work put into. That is not how defences work.