GONYK wrote:HarthorneWingo wrote:GONYK wrote:
I didn't forget. The country is just more outraged now.
Being an overt p*ssy grabbing white supremacist who let 123k people die on your watch (the equivalent of 40 9/11's) will do that.
And, like I said, the country is more polarized now. Trump himself has fanned those divisions.
Almost nothing that was a factor 16 years ago will hold any real comparison to today.
Of course, it's all relative. But at the time, Bush had pushed the envelope more than we've every imagined before just like Trump has today. Sure, in retrospect by comparison Trump is much worse. It's still not a sound strategy for running a campaign and winning a presidential election. You have to agree with that, right?
Well, Biden's lead is almost triple the largest lead Kerry had at any point in 2004, so I think the strategy is fine. We don't need Joe Biden to be anything other than seeming like a decent person. That's it. That's all most people really want this time around.
I think people forget 2 things:
1. Hillary was wildy unpopular and possibly as polarizing to R's and Trump is to D's.
2. Trump lost the popular vote by 3M and is President today because of 80,000 votes across 3 states.
Trump is not some juggernaut. Quite a few anomalies had to line up for him to win by the slimmest of margins. Now, the cards are very much stacked against him.
He's someone that any generic Dem should beat, and Joe Biden is as generic as a Democrat can get.
That's not to say I'm relaxed or confident. Obviously a lot can happen between now and November.
I'm just calling it as I see it. I think a literal empty suit would have a polling lead on Trump right now. The candidate doesn't matter. Trump is the only thing driving people right now.
I'll ask you the same question I asked to Stannis: Do you think Trump will become significantly more competent or less hated between now and November?
I don't think Joe Biden keeping a low profile or fumbling his words will affect anyone's answer.
Dude, Biden's favorables are at 26%. It's all about Trump hate which is what I've been saying. No one is enthused about Biden. The mofo wanted to cut Medicare and Social Security. He voted for the Iraq War. He sides with banks and credit card companies. He sucks. He just doesn't suck nearly as bad as Trump. Yes, I'm enthused about getting Trump out of office and in jail. But I am not enthused about a Biden presidency.