K_chile22 wrote:hoosierdaddy34 wrote:Nacho Bidness wrote:When the Lakers can get their mismatches sure they'll score rather easily but the Rockets will oddly win by defense. The way they switch everything and disrupt passing lanes and are just overall very pesky, the Lakers will become discombobulated. The rebounding advantage is negated by turnovers. That's what nobody is seeing.
Both the Lakers and the Rockets turn the ball over around 15 times a game.
And both the Lakers and the Rockets opponents turn the ball over about 16 times a game against them.
There is a statistical insignificance when it comes to turnovers between the two teams.
This seems to be a hope and prayer scenario you are throwing out here.
That's totally ignoring pace. Rockets have the 9th lowest Tov rate, 4th highest opponent tov rate, Lakers have the 23rd lowest Tov rate and 3rd highest opponent tov rate. And I'd bet both those numbers are better for Houston since the Covington trade
That sounds completely made up considering the Lakers are 11th in pace and only 2.8 possessions per game (per 48) less than Houston on the season.
Such a drastic difference would make sense if we were talking about a team near the bottom in PACE at like 95 possessions per 48 versus a team at the top averaging 109 per 48. But that’s not what we have. It’s 107.4 vs 104.6 per 48.
So you go to turnovers per 100 stats at basketball reference, the Rockets turn it over 14.1 times per 100, the Lakers 15.0.
Lakers opponents turn it over 15.5 against them per 100 and the Rockets are at 15.1 per 100.
So that whopping .5 net turnover per 100 possessions is going to be a huge factor huh? As I said it’s statistically insignificant, and even when Pace is taken into account.