BallSacBounce wrote:omerome wrote:BallSacBounce wrote:The last Gallup poll had it 28%/27% people who identify as Republicans/Democrats. First time we have led since 2004. You guys are in for a really rude awakening.
Just so you know, it's a higher chance of registered Republicans that would vote against the resident vs. registered Democrats who would vote against Biden in this election. So I would hold on to that statement for now.
Just so you know, you're absolutely wrong.
How am I wrong? Can you provide any evidence to back up your claim?
There's a reason why a high voter turnout is something the Republican party doesn't want. More people voting usually means they will lose. It's why that if they can't outright use voter suppression tactics like limiting polling places for minorities or limiting only one place to drop off an absentee ballot, they will instead depress voters to keep them from voting altogether.
Here's a snippet from a Mother Jones article about Mitch McConnell's opposition to something like making Election Day a holiday so more people are able to vote:
Democrats have long accused Republicans of restricting access to the ballot because Republicans are likelier to win when fewer people vote. On Wednesday, the GOP leader in the Senate appeared to admit that they’re right.
On the Senate floor, Majority Leader Mitch McConnell announced his opposition to a relatively uncontroversial measure that would make Election Day a federal holiday in order to make it easier for people to get to the polls. He called it a “power grab” that would help Democrats win elections.
“Just what America needs, another paid holiday and a bunch of government workers being paid to go out and work for, I assume, our folks—our colleagues on the other side, on their campaigns,” McConnell said. “This is the Democrat plan to restore democracy? A brand-new week of paid vacation for every federal employee who would like to hover around while you cast your ballot?”
https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2019/01/mitch-mcconnell-admits-that-republicans-lose-when-more-people-vote/Another aspect is more simple. The pandemic we're all facing. It is not just affecting Democrats. It is affecting Repulicans, Independants and the non-voters as well. This virus doesn't care what your politican afflication is and if you are registered as a Republican and someone close to you died orsaw how the current administration handled the pandemic, it is likely you are going to be pissed off and might not vote for the resident in the White House.
Here's a transcript from NPR stating why many white voters, who in many cases were life-long Republicans that will not vote Republican now.
HENKEL: One guy said he's been voting Republican for over 40 years, but he doesn't think he could go back to being a Republican because of the way they're thinking and the way they're supporting Trump.
CORNISH: Pan Henkel spoke to NPR's Sam Gringlas. He's been talking to white voters in battleground states who aren't voting for Trump this year.
Hey there, Sam.
SAM GRINGLAS, BYLINE: Hey, Audie.
CORNISH: So we've just hit Wisconsin. What's next?
GRINGLAS: OK. So let's hop across the lake to suburban Michigan now because don't forget; when we talk about white voters, we're not just talking about blue-collar voters. We're talking about wealthier suburban voters too, like Nancy Strohl (ph).
NANCY STROHL: I voted for Barry Goldwater, so I've been around a long time.
GRINGLAS: She lives in this exurban part of Oakland County. And it's a place that used to be pretty Republican, think Mitt Romney-type Republican. But it's been getting a lot bluer over the last few years. Strohl had voted Republican for a really long time.
STROHL: I could not bring myself to vote for Trump. I just couldn't.
GRINGLAS: In 2018, she actually started volunteering for the Democratic candidate for Congress who ended up flipping the seat blue. And when Strohl went door-knocking that year, it was often women who would step outside, shut the door a little bit and say they were going to support the Democrat.
https://www.npr.org/2020/10/22/926809331/why-more-white-voters-may-not-support-trump-in-2020Here's a list of prominent Republicans who have publically stated they will not vote for the resident in the White House. Do you really think this will not have any effect on people to second guess their vote? Many of these people are respected in the party and again, going back to the pandemic, it is clear this country is being led by incompetence.
Not voting for Trump:
Massachusetts Gov. Charlie Baker: "The governor cannot support Donald Trump for president and is focused on seeing Massachusetts through the pandemic. He’ll leave the election analysis to the pundits," a spokesperson said.
Vermont Gov. Phil Scott: He has been a vocal critic of the president, supporting House Democrats' impeachment inquiry and saying earlier this year Trump “shouldn’t be in office." He reaffirmed this summer that he will not support Trump in November.
Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan: The frequent Trump critic said that he cast a write-in vote for former President Ronald Reagan because he "thought it was important to just cast a vote that showed the kind of person I’d like to see in office."
Sen. Mitt Romney (Utah): The party's 2012 presidential nominee said in February that he will not support Trump shortly after he voted to convict the president on one count in his impeachment trial.
John Bolton: Trump's former national security adviser said he will not vote for Biden or Trump and hopes that history remembers Trump "as a one-term president."
William H. McRaven: McRaven, who led the raid that killed Osama bin Laden, has publicly criticized the president. He told The New York Times, "This fall, it's time for a new leadership in this country — Republican, Democrat or independent."
Voting for Biden:
Colin Powell: The former secretary of state under George W. Bush and retired four-star general said that he will support Biden because he believes that Trump has "drifted away" from the Constitution.
Carly Fiorina: The 2016 presidential candidate said she will support Biden because she believes he is "a person of humility and empathy and character," per The Atlantic.
John Kasich: The former Ohio governor and 2016 presidential candidate is not only endorsing Biden, but also speaking at the DNC to support the former vice president.
Rick Snyder: The former Michigan governor said he will vote for Biden because "Trump lacks a moral compass" and "ignores the truth."
Jeff Flake: The former Arizona senator said in April he would vote for Biden instead of Trump, per CNN.
Miles Taylor: The former Department of Homeland Security chief of staff officially endorsed Biden saying, "Even though I'm not a Democrat, even though I disagree on key issues, I'm confident that Joe Biden will protect the country."
Tom Ridge: The former Pennsylvania governor said he would be voting for Biden, writing in the Philadelphia Inquirer, "I believe the responsible vote is for Joe Biden...It’s time to put country over party. It’s time to dismiss Donald Trump."
Cindy McCain: The widow of the late Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) lent her voice to a video about her husband's friendship with Biden that aired during the Democratic National Convention and formally endorsed the former vice president in September, calling him the "candidate in this race who stands up for our values as a nation."
Marc Racicot: The former Montana governor and former chair of the Republican National Committee announced that he would vote for Biden, citing his character and noting that it was "more important than any other issue."
Michael Steele: The former chair of the Republican National Committee wrote for NBC News that he was supporting Biden because the 2020 election is "about the course of a nation and the character of her people reflected in the leader they choose."
On the fence:
Sen. Lisa Murkowski (Alaska): Murkowski, one of Trump's consistent foils in the Senate, said that she was "struggling" to support the president's re-election after James Mattis, the former defense secretary, issued a public rebuke.
Undecided publicly, but skeptical, via a New York Times report:
George W. Bush: The former president has reportedly decided not to support Trump's re-election, though he's made no public statements to that end.
Jeb Bush: The former Florida governor and 2016 presidential candidate is so far reportedly undecided.
https://www.axios.com/republicans-not-voting-for-trump-in-2020-9e2f02fa-0f36-418d-bedd-ed53181dd99c.htmlBottom line is, there are a lot of upset people out there and the resident is acting like this isn't his responsibility. He's pretending like he's still the outsider he claimed to be back in 2015 when he has been the president for the past four years. This is his mess and an unfortunate fact many voters, both Democrat and Republican are fully aware of.