SF_Warriors wrote:amcoolio wrote:Stillwater wrote:my guess is he only goes top 3 if the pick is traded... none of those orgs are great fits for a project center even if his upside is substantial based on anthro. He is overrated as an athlete compared to Oturu and Okongwu as well.
CHA is the only one that maybe has him ranked as worth that gamble but they rarely ever pick high upside prospects as opposed to highly skilled ones with high floors. I have him going later in the 4-6 range esp if CHA passes and nobody tearing it down traded up into the top 2 for him which could happen because the upside is real just years away.
Charlotte is high on Okongwu, and I would love that pick but I hope to god they take Hayes
I don't see the NBA trending away from the current meta any time soon. And in the current NBA, Washington and Miles can be your bigs.
For me to take someone top 3, they have to be an offensive creator. I don't see Wiseman creating offense. He's a nice player to have, but he will have to be taken out of games at the end against most teams because he is useless on the perimeter on defense.
At least Okongwu can guard 3 positions. I can't see Wiseman guarding anything but Drummond/Whiteside/Dwight types, which many teams just don't play in the 4th quarter anymore. Other teams will just play forwards out on the perimeter against Wiseman and negate his shot blocking.
I think the "Charlotte high on Wiseman" stuff is smokescreens. Charlotte has always been secretive and runs a tight ship about who they want in the draft/free agency. If I had to guess Charlotte probably wants Edwards, Okongwu, Avdija, Hayes in that order. (I really dislike Edwards but he at least has some potential if he can grow up quickly)
You can get away with having an average center if the rest of your team is good, or if the team already has a star PF. The warriors had draymond up front and a great collection of perimeter talent/depth even before they had KD. If you have four all stars at every other position, that fifth position obviously does not need to be above average.
Star big men have always been a part of championship teams. You don't necessarily need a star center, but at least a star front court player.
The heatles had bosh who was an all star big that slid to center.
Kobe lakers had Pau/Bynum
Raps had siakam
We can go on and on
Even today:
Heat has Bam
Lakers have AD who can clearly play center.
Nugs have Jokic
Celts didnt have an all star big, but has probably the best collection of wings in the nba today and a star point guard. And they lost partly due to not having a star frontcourt player.
Looking at the history of the nba, championship teams have always had a star big. Maybe not an elite guy like a shaq or duncan, but at least an all star like Love or Bosh, and they do not necessarily have to be the focal point of the offense. This myth that a good center cant help a team become championship caliber is false imo.
Not saying wiseman is that type of guy, but if he can bring elements of an above average center, he would definitely help a team like the warriors, where a lot of what he is projected to bring is a glaring weakness for them.
I want to tak onto this post by saying,
-the Warriors just before Durant had a center who was a former #1 pick, elite passing for the position, 10ish ppg and a DPOY candidate. That's pretty dang close to a star level play.
Toronto not only had Siakim, but Ibaka and Gasol, two players who've been top 5 DPOY multiple times. And Gasol is an elite passer for the position while bother can stretch the floor.
-i don't think Love was a good that championship run as any if these guys, but yeah a top 5 GOAT having the most important series of his career + a 25ppg efficient PG perinial all-star, + Tristan Thompson + Love can win you a championship.
- the Heatles were a Hassan Whiteside level of player away from winning 4 straight chips imo. But ironically he was brought back to the league from international bball the off-season LBJ walked.
To bring this thread back to Wiseman. The NBA has always been dominated by teams with excellent big man play, but recently 6'9" PG LBJ and 6'7" Draymond+Steph+Iggy+Klay+KD(or Barnes) had about a 4 year run.
Unless you have LBJ or the Warriors death lineup you need an all-star caliber player at C (or a All-star caliber PF who can play C).
I think Wiseman will end up somewhere between Deaandre Jordan and an MVP level player, but I can understand people preferring Edwards if they see Bradley Beal with AllNBA defense or they see Lamelo as a future 20/12/8 guy on 45/35/80 shooting.
I don't understand the people who have Wiseman outside the lottory though. And I think people who don't value franchise centers are just wrong and have been for a long time.
The NBA also did go through a talent drought for centers about after Howard faded, that + Heatles + Warriors death lineup + no one ever crediting Bogut really brought the "center position is irrelevant nonsense to the forefront.
I like Kevin O'Connor but during the WCF this season he had an article arguing if you don't have "special" C it's better to be cheap and value wavy there.... We'll duh. If I don't have a "special" PG is it smarter to sign Eric Bledsoe for the MLE or 4years70mil.
And what does "special" mean? Is Nurkic special? Is Dragic? Is Siakim? Is Ibaka? Is Smart?
Just a vague "if you don't have a great player spend recourses elsewhere.".
so insightful