TheBonzaiEffect wrote:Texas Chuck wrote:Anyway back on topic....
Is Luka an MVP candidate? I guess for me that's a matter of how loosely one defines candidate. Another poster pointed out Embiid and Lebron should be considered favorites at the moment and I would agree with that. Giannis has playoff baggage now and he's not having the season he had last year, but the Bucks are first in the East. Jokic is suffering like Luka with mediocre team results, but he's been amazing. KD, same as Jokic/Luka, but coming off that injury the narrative really helps him--though adding Harden will probably off-set that. PG is a punching bag, but the Clippers are good and he's been absurd. Kawhi obviously. Curry has team issue atm.
So right now the field is probably 10 deep or near as. Luka belongs in that mix for sure. But among the favorites based on this first stretch of the season? No, I can't make a compelling case for that.
LBJ and Embiid certainly have the combo of stats and record (though LBJ's stats aren't anything special right now), but I don't see how Luka/Jokic aren't clearly right behind them, given the stats coupled with carry jobs they have to do (KD would be in that tier, but with Harden that will change). Some combo of LBJ, Embiid, Jokic, and Luka is easily the top 4 IMO.
Historically outside the Westbrook year, team success has been a requirement to win MVP. If your team doesn't finish in the top 3 in your conference you don't win MVP. That's why I would include some players above Luka at the moment despite him having to do more with less.
Now if we want to have a philosophical discussion about why that's a bad way of picking MVP's I'm open to it. I definitely think its possible to be the most valuable player in the league on a non-elite team. But just going by precedence Luka is not a current standout candidate due to the Mavs' record. If they can go on a run here with KP rounding back into form and getting all the missing rotation guys back over the next week or so that can change quickly.
He's absolutely an MVP-caliber player without any question, particularly with this level of commitment to defense which we had not consistently seen prior to the bubble. This guy who isn't caught ball-watching, who can't be targeted, and who is causing issues off-ball consistently completely changes one of the narratives used against him.