GelbeWand09 wrote:drsd wrote:14.8% @Sixers
15.2% @Sixers
If you accept those odds, the Magic is projected to go 4-10 in the above (actually it is 3.998 wins, but still). 538 also predicts 4 wins and a final 22-50 mark.
But to get to TWO, all the Magic really need is to go 3-11 with the extra lose being to the T-wolves. That would take both teams to a predicted 21-49 final record.
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Naw this doesnt mean much honestly. Such a projection doesnt work. 1st you dont know especially in this season, who you play against (load management / tanking moves). 2nd much more important, its based on us using our vets. If you make that projection with the roster we played in the last 2-3 games, the % are probably much different.
We are 1-9 in the last 10 with the vets playing much less. The only win was a vet heavy game. Without them, we are basically OKC.
There is a real chance the Sixers rest their roster for the final two games, for example. Will Philly rather care about the fight for the 1 vs 2 seed, or being healthy and rested against on of the two play-in winners for their first round match-up?
But the counterargument is that Orlando would play its players as well. Will we ever see Ross again this season?
Load management goes both ways. And if Coach Cllifford keeps playing Franks, Cannady, and Randle for 40+ minutes combine per game, well, Orlando is managing its load.
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