2021-22 NBA Season Discussion

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1521 » by therealbig3 » Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:15 pm

Dutchball97 wrote:Curry at #2 feels a bit generous with the seasons Giannis and Embiid are having.


Agreed. His numbers are down (significantly) across the board. First full season of his career that he's shooting less than 40% on 3s. Scoring volume way down as well. And GS's offense isn't exactly lighting the world on fire either.

I think it's pretty easily his worst season since like 2014.

I'd take Jokic, Embiid, and Giannis at least over him. Ja has been amazing too, don't think taking him over Curry is that indefensible right now. Not to mention LeBron, Luka, Demar, Lavine, KAT, etc. They all have a solid case honestly. Other than LeBron, they're all leading significantly overachieving rosters relative to preseason expectations, and putting up monster numbers in the process.

I know it's Steph Curry and he has the reputation and everything...but he honestly hasn't played all that great this year, relative to other POY candidates.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1522 » by Texas Chuck » Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:21 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
For the record, the Kerr Warriors, when healthy, have fallen behind (2-1 or 3-1) 3 times.
Each time they came back and won the series.

In 2019, the team lost KD against the Rockets and were expected to lose out from there, instead they won, won the next series, and then fought the champs respectably.

I would submit that the perception that Curry fails against adversity doesn't have the track record evidence people have come to think it does.


Thanks Doc. Seems like my perception of Curry and the team is based more on my observations than on reality. Appreciate you correcting the record on that. I guess I need to not let his body language impact me so much. But just like Luka's constant berating of the officials concerns me a great deal about his focus, a lot of Curry's actions when he gets frustrated really rub me wrong.

But I'm big on what happens over my perception of what's happening. So you present some compelling evidence that either my worry is silly or Draymond's influence is enough to overcome Steph's.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1523 » by Dutchball97 » Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:25 pm

therealbig3 wrote:
Dutchball97 wrote:Curry at #2 feels a bit generous with the seasons Giannis and Embiid are having.


Agreed. His numbers are down (significantly) across the board. First full season of his career that he's shooting less than 40% on 3s. Scoring volume way down as well. And GS's offense isn't exactly lighting the world on fire either.

I think it's pretty easily his worst season since like 2014.

I'd take Jokic, Embiid, and Giannis at least over him. Ja has been amazing too, don't think taking him over Curry is that indefensible right now. Not to mention LeBron, Luka, Demar, Lavine, KAT, etc. They all have a solid case honestly. Other than LeBron, they're all leading significantly overachieving rosters relative to preseason expectations, and putting up monster numbers in the process.

I know it's Steph Curry and he has the reputation and everything...but he honestly hasn't played all that great this year, relative to other POY candidates.


I still have Curry comfortably at 4th now that CP3 is going to miss a couple weeks. It's just that I think Jokic, Embiid and Giannis are a pretty clear top 3 this season.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1524 » by falcolombardi » Mon Feb 28, 2022 9:45 pm

curry is amazing still, but i think warriors succes is obscuring a bit thay their offense is barely above mediocre

i think 4 is the highest i can have him right now
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1525 » by therealbig3 » Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:00 pm

Texas Chuck wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
For the record, the Kerr Warriors, when healthy, have fallen behind (2-1 or 3-1) 3 times.
Each time they came back and won the series.

In 2019, the team lost KD against the Rockets and were expected to lose out from there, instead they won, won the next series, and then fought the champs respectably.

I would submit that the perception that Curry fails against adversity doesn't have the track record evidence people have come to think it does.


Thanks Doc. Seems like my perception of Curry and the team is based more on my observations than on reality. Appreciate you correcting the record on that. I guess I need to not let his body language impact me so much. But just like Luka's constant berating of the officials concerns me a great deal about his focus, a lot of Curry's actions when he gets frustrated really rub me wrong.

But I'm big on what happens over my perception of what's happening. So you present some compelling evidence that either my worry is silly or Draymond's influence is enough to overcome Steph's.


In response to both of you, I think a more reasonable stance is that Curry is an excellent player who is still an excellent player in the playoffs...but is no longer the game-breaking human cheat code that he is in the regular season, and is actually much more in line with other stars in terms of playoff performance, and he clearly falls short of the offensive GOAT company that he would have otherwise been a part of if RS was all that mattered.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1526 » by HeartBreakKid » Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:12 pm

Steph Curry at #2? Maybe back in November.

Guy been living off a hot 6 weeks more than any player in recent memory.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1527 » by falcolombardi » Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:15 pm

therealbig3 wrote:
Texas Chuck wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
For the record, the Kerr Warriors, when healthy, have fallen behind (2-1 or 3-1) 3 times.
Each time they came back and won the series.

In 2019, the team lost KD against the Rockets and were expected to lose out from there, instead they won, won the next series, and then fought the champs respectably.

I would submit that the perception that Curry fails against adversity doesn't have the track record evidence people have come to think it does.


Thanks Doc. Seems like my perception of Curry and the team is based more on my observations than on reality. Appreciate you correcting the record on that. I guess I need to not let his body language impact me so much. But just like Luka's constant berating of the officials concerns me a great deal about his focus, a lot of Curry's actions when he gets frustrated really rub me wrong.

But I'm big on what happens over my perception of what's happening. So you present some compelling evidence that either my worry is silly or Draymond's influence is enough to overcome Steph's.


In response to both of you, I think a more reasonable stance is that Curry is an excellent player who is still an excellent player in the playoffs...but is no longer the game-breaking human cheat code that he is in the regular season, and is actually much more in line with other stars in terms of playoff performance, and he clearly falls short of the offensive GOAT company that he would have otherwise been a part of if RS was all that mattered.


this is more or less my thoughts too
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1528 » by falcolombardi » Mon Feb 28, 2022 10:28 pm

a bit off topic but the curry vs jokic thread got me thinking who are my offense goat rankings, probably somethingh line this (open to further changes as í think them more or remember players i may be forgetting)

Tier 1- magic, nash, jordan, lebron (offensive dinasties, great floorraising efforts when having lesser ofgensive talent around, strong playoffs results )

tier 1.5- Shaq (often missed ganes), bird (often struggle scoring in the playoffs + health issues), curry (common playoffs drop off ), Oscar and west (all time results but i am less knowledgeable on them hollistically beyond numbers)

tier 2- peopke like dirk, kobe, kareem, chris paul that i see slightly below the guys above, wade if not for weak longevity

tier 3- duncan, hakeem (insane playoffs resiliency), stockton (playoffs big drop off), karl malone (see stockton) etc

is not a full list yet but it would go somethingh like this. thinking where other guys like julius, dursnt, jokic, embiid or harden would go
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1529 » by eminence » Mon Feb 28, 2022 11:03 pm

Still have Curry closer to #1 than to #3. And a bit of a hot take, but I think the players Jokic has actually played with this season are better than the cast Curry has had. (Bench minutes do fall heavily in the Warriors favor, more due the Nuggets bench being horrendous than the Warriors being notably good). On court rating and guys who've played with them considerably.

115.4/103.0 (+12.4), 1902 Oncourt minutes (nbawowy)
1250 Wiggins
984 Looney
805 Poole
773 Dray
728 OPJ

118.1/107.7 (+10.4), 1813 Oncourt minutes
1467 Gordon
1364 Morris
1307 Barton
950 Jeff Green

edit: Added Giannis/Embiid for relative completeness

115.8/107.3 (+8.5), 1639 Oncourt minutes
959 Allen
920 Middleton
889 Jrue
838 Portis
740 Connaughton

116.9/108.7 (+8.2), 1584 Oncourt minutes
1261 Harris
1172 Maxey
1108 Seth
741 Thybulle
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1530 » by 70sFan » Tue Mar 1, 2022 6:36 am

falcolombardi wrote:a bit off topic but the curry vs jokic thread got me thinking who are my offense goat rankings, probably somethingh line this (open to further changes as í think them more or remember players i may be forgetting)

Tier 1- magic, nash, jordan, lebron (offensive dinasties, great floorraising efforts when having lesser ofgensive talent around, strong playoffs results )

tier 1.5- Shaq (often missed ganes), bird (often struggle scoring in the playoffs + health issues), curry (common playoffs drop off ), Oscar and west (all time results but i am less knowledgeable on them hollistically beyond numbers)

tier 2- peopke like dirk, kobe, kareem, chris paul that i see slightly below the guys above, wade if not for weak longevity

tier 3- duncan, hakeem (insane playoffs resiliency), stockton (playoffs big drop off), karl malone (see stockton) etc

is not a full list yet but it would go somethingh like this. thinking where other guys like julius, dursnt, jokic, embiid or harden would go

Why Kareem lower than Shaq?
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1531 » by feyki » Tue Mar 1, 2022 4:34 pm

Colbinii wrote:
feyki wrote:Doncic finished the month with 34,7 PPG, 10,3 RPG, 8,8 APG, %58 TS and 116 ORtg. 36,7 PPG, 7,3 APG, %71,5 TS, 128 ORtg Curry played with in the 2016 February. 43,4 PPG, 4,1 APG, %61 TS and 122 ORtg was by Kobe in the 2006 January.

I don't remember any else right now, Lebron was too efficient in the 2013 February, but his volume was not legendary(137 ORTG!). Dirk was but with May(He was a playoff guy rather than these easy boys :P ), 28,5 PPG, 13 RPG, 3,5 APG, %63 TS and 128 ORtg and against the 102/103 DRTG Teams. Also, Dirk with one more May on 29,2 PPG, 8,2 RPG, 2,6 APG, %67 TS and 124 ORtg against 105 DRTG Teams.


My favorite stretch may still be Chris Paul in 2015 over the last 15 games of the season.

14-1 record
+18.1 On-Court per game
22.1 Points, 11.1 Assists to 1.9 Turnovers, 4.1 Rebounds, 2.1 Steals
141 ORTG, 66.7 TS%



All three Paul,Wade and Lebron also had great months in the 2009 season. That year was super outlier regarding the individual level, even Kobe and Dirk was historic that year.

Paul's April - 28,3 PPG, 11,7 APG, %61 TS, 127 ORtg,
Wade's March - 33,7 PPG, 7,9 APG, %59 TS, 120 ORtg,
Lebron's February(but 2010 but didn't remember right) - 32,6 PPG, 10,5 APG, %62 TS, 130 ORtg
. But 2013 February Lebron was way better than all of them. I actually when think it twice, it was better than Kobe's 2006 January. It's offensive efficiency really an outlier.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1532 » by LukaTheGOAT » Tue Mar 1, 2022 9:18 pm

RJ Barrett Freethrow attempts per game by month

October - 3.2
November - 3.1
December - 4.9
January - 6.1
February - 10

If development heads in the direction of a Jimmy Butler-esque style of guy, I think that would be great.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1533 » by falcolombardi » Tue Mar 1, 2022 11:46 pm

70sFan wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:a bit off topic but the curry vs jokic thread got me thinking who are my offense goat rankings, probably somethingh line this (open to further changes as í think them more or remember players i may be forgetting)

Tier 1- magic, nash, jordan, lebron (offensive dinasties, great floorraising efforts when having lesser ofgensive talent around, strong playoffs results )

tier 1.5- Shaq (often missed ganes), bird (often struggle scoring in the playoffs + health issues), curry (common playoffs drop off ), Oscar and west (all time results but i am less knowledgeable on them hollistically beyond numbers)

tier 2- peopke like dirk, kobe, kareem, chris paul that i see slightly below the guys above, wade if not for weak longevity

tier 3- duncan, hakeem (insane playoffs resiliency), stockton (playoffs big drop off), karl malone (see stockton) etc

is not a full list yet but it would go somethingh like this. thinking where other guys like julius, dursnt, jokic, embiid or harden would go

Why Kareem lower than Shaq?


fwiw the ranking was only offensive, i actually am more impressed by kareem defense than shaq from what k have seen (i am low in shaq D) so i prefer him over shaq

as í see it shaq big advantage over kareem is offensive rebounding and off ball impact (particularly fouling out rivals) with his insane mass + quickness + motor* (in offense)

while kareem edge is that he is actually a significatively more efficient post scorer than shaq and a more "unstopabble" scorer contrary to what one could thinl

i pick shaq advantages slightly over kareem advantages mostly because my instinct tellm me kareem wouldnt be such a efficiency/volume outlier in the modern game as he was in his prime (i could be wrong of course) even if in absolute terms it surely would improve with the spacing
since post game as a whole is no longer the most efficient form of offense compared to slashers and 3 point shooters

but shaq offensive advantages like mass, forcing smaller defenders to foul him, off rebounding may actually be amplified in this era (not so much defensively where i think his weaknesses would be more exploited)

i can be completely wrong of course

how would be your list?
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1534 » by therealbig3 » Wed Mar 2, 2022 1:47 am

I'm gonna predict that once Draymond Green returns, Curry all of a sudden looks way better, and the Warriors go back to winning games, and then everyone talks about how amazing Steph Curry is and how he's a cheat code and how he should be MVP...and go back to ignoring just how obviously important Green is to the success of the Warriors.

We have a pretty huge sample size at this point of Curry struggling pretty much whenever Green misses time, and the Warriors all of a sudden looking like a very human team, only for a significant improvement once Green comes back. Don't think I've ever seen a superstar's performance as dependent on the presence of a "role player" like Curry's is on Green.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1535 » by eminence » Wed Mar 2, 2022 3:21 am

If anyone thinks they're higher on Draymond Green than me they're dead wrong.

Warriors 13-9 (including tonight) with Steph since Dray went down, +7.8 while he's on-court (not updated for tonight), -0.2 while off (that off number includes 2 games Steph was inactive for and also doesn't include tonight).

Wiggins
Poole
Looney
Kuminga
Klay
Lee
OPJ
Payton II

The 2-9 rotation (in that order) over that period.

The Warriors 'struggling' without Draymond have been approximately as good as the full season Nuggets/Mavs/Bucks (same win%, slightly better point differential).
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1536 » by LukaTheGOAT » Wed Mar 2, 2022 6:09 am

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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1537 » by 70sFan » Wed Mar 2, 2022 8:34 am

falcolombardi wrote:fwiw the ranking was only offensive, i actually am more impressed by kareem defense than shaq from what k have seen (i am low in shaq D) so i prefer him over shaq

as í see it shaq big advantage over kareem is offensive rebounding and off ball impact (particularly fouling out rivals) with his insane mass + quickness + motor* (in offense)

while kareem edge is that he is actually a significatively more efficient post scorer than shaq and a more "unstopabble" scorer contrary to what one could thinl

I'd add longer range and better passing for Kareem advantages. Off-ball play is interesting, as Jabbar himself was excellent without the ball - his positioning was always sound, he tried to establish deep positions and he rarely clogged the lane for his teammates. Of course he wasn't as good as Shaq at getting inside position, but he needed less to make it work thanks to his outstanding touch from in between area.

I agree that Shaq offensive rebounding and foul drawing abilities makes this comparison interesting, but I don't think it's enough to have him tier ahead of Kareem.

i pick shaq advantages slightly over kareem advantages mostly because my instinct tellm me kareem wouldnt be such a efficiency/volume outlier in the modern game as he was in his prime (i could be wrong of course) even if in absolute terms it surely would improve with the spacing
since post game as a whole is no longer the most efficient form of offense compared to slashers and 3 point shooters

Post game on average isn't the most efficient form of offense, but Kareem was a massive outlier in that aspect. In my tracking data (33 games from 1971-79 period), Jabbar averaged 16.4 ppg on 57.1 TS% from post up isolations. That's insane combination of volume and efficiency. Keep in mind that Jabbar played in an era that didn't favor efficient volume scoring, he had no spacing around him and couldn't physically attack defenders like Embiid does for example.

I don't think Kareem would average 16 ppg from post isolations alone, but 10 ppg on absurd efficiency isn't out of possibility (remember, Embiid averages almost 9 ppg from the post this season in lower minutes). Then Kareem has a lot more to offer - he was fantastic finisher inside so he could be used as a roll-man in P&Rs and I think he had good enough handles and shooting touch to use faceup game more with looser ball-handling rules. He was also a better passer than someone like Embiid, so you wouldn't waste your possessions on his isos all game long either.

but shaq offensive advantages like mass, forcing smaller defenders to foul him, off rebounding may actually be amplified in this era (not so much defensively where i think his weaknesses would be more exploited)

I don't think I would agree here. Shaq had versatile post game, but he needed to get the ball deep to become highly efficient. I think with modern defensive schemes it would be easier to prevent Shaq from getting the ball than it would be with Kareem. On top of that, it seems that defenders flop in the post more than ever today and refs are actually willing to call charges (unlike perimeter offensive fouls).

To be honest, I think both would translate just fine in the modern league, but there are far more concerns with Shaq in my opinion - even without touching defense which would be very problematic.

i can be completely wrong of course

how would be your list?

My list would look comparable, but slightly different because I don't evaluate players in modern environment. I don't think it's fair to criticize players for not optimizing their games to rules then never played in. I also think that to make it fair, you'd also have to do it backwards and downgrade someone like Curry because his game clealry wouldn't be as impactful without three point line.

My tiers would look like something like this (asusming we're talking about 2-3 years peaks):

Tier 1: Magic, Nash, Jordan, LeBron

Tier 2: Curry, West, Oscar, Bird, Jokic

Tier 3: Shaq, Kareem, Paul, Kobe, Dirk, Barkley

Tier 4: Harden, Wade, Durant, Erving, Wilt

Tier 5: Barry, Baylor, Pettit, Giannis, Moses

Tier 6: Gervin, Miller, Malone, Duncan, Hakeem, Embiid

Something like this, though I'm uncertain if I didn't miss anyone in last two tiers. Jokic can reach the first tier with better postseason run in the next few years, he's that good.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1538 » by Peregrine01 » Wed Mar 2, 2022 2:36 pm

eminence wrote:If anyone thinks they're higher on Draymond Green than me they're dead wrong.

Warriors 13-9 (including tonight) with Steph since Dray went down, +7.8 while he's on-court (not updated for tonight), -0.2 while off (that off number includes 2 games Steph was inactive for and also doesn't include tonight).

Wiggins
Poole
Looney
Kuminga
Klay
Lee
OPJ
Payton II

The 2-9 rotation (in that order) over that period.

The Warriors 'struggling' without Draymond have been approximately as good as the full season Nuggets/Mavs/Bucks (same win%, slightly better point differential).


Can't agree more. The other thing to notice is that this Warriors team isn't exactly budding with talent. They thrive off of great chemistry and Draymond is the glue that keeps that chemistry going.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1539 » by RCM88x » Wed Mar 2, 2022 6:08 pm

Kerr is the most underrated coach in the league. I think people take him for granted because of the perception of overwhelming talent that has existed around the team since he took over.

But imo they've consistently over-performed massively since he's been there, this year is no exception.
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Re: 2021-22 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#1540 » by sp6r=underrated » Wed Mar 2, 2022 8:03 pm

RCM88x wrote:Kerr is the most underrated coach in the league. I think people take him for granted because of the perception of overwhelming talent that has existed around the team since he took over.

But imo they've consistently over-performed massively since he's been there, this year is no exception.


Can't agree more. He landed in a good spot but what he did there is mind boggling.

People overrate the importance of the PS in general, so the 2016 Finals blinded people to the fact no team in NBA history had a better 3 year run by MOV than the Warriors did from 2015-17.

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