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Weltman deserves more credit...

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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#41 » by OrlMagic05 » Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:58 pm

drsd wrote:
Max Power wrote:I’m not ready to give Weltman too much credit.


Orlando is 26-77 since Vučević was traded. All the pro-tankers must love that stat.




Image


So you'd rather be 51-51 and swept in the 1st round? I get it, it sucks tanking and I am annoyed that we have not been lucky with the draft lottery, but thinking Vuc and company would bring us close to a championship is not ideal.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#42 » by OrlMagic05 » Fri Apr 29, 2022 3:04 pm

Skybox wrote:
Optimus_Steel wrote:
OrlandoSaban wrote:
Your post seriously made my day. Quite honestly, I am disgusted with this entire franchise and most fans who are by ok and wanting to lose.

This is not the Orlando Magic I fell in love with in 1989. I still remember begging my parents to please call the phone number on billboards for season tickets 89 MAGIC - of course at the time they could not afford them but my ex HS girlfriend’s Dad had season tickets and we literally went to every single home game

I absolutely hate the new arena. I hate the atmosphere. I honestly am at the point where I don’t even follow this **** show anymore.

I was so thrilled when my cable provider here in Destin finally got the FOX Sports that played Magic games instead of Miami Heat games. I would literally call and DM them on FB every other day begging for that channel. I would like to think that perhaps I was a small tiny part of finally bringing the Orlando Magic on TV in the Florida Panhandle.

I am sick and tired of hearing about our amazing youn talent and how every player is doing so great and how wonderful our coaching staff is and bla bla bla from the front office

I am also sick and tired mid fans refusing to want any change with players.

I’m sorry but there should not be one single player on this team marked SAFE from being traded.

I have never seen a fanbase so persistent in wanting to keep a bunch of losers who haven’t won anything.

I am sick and tired of always purposely trying to tank.

I am sick and tired that it’s always NBA World title or bust mentality with the fanbase.

Right now I would take a treadmill team over this hot garbage

So we got yet another lottery pick by losing.. what have we gained from losing? Oh, another lottery bust.. another laughing stock of a losing bottom team and quite honestly and embarrassment to the city I love. It’s a disgrace when friggin soccer and a college football team in the freaking AAC conference is more popular than the first pro team ever in Orlando.

Sorry for venting but I just disgusted and sick of it.

People say be patient.. how much more FN patient can I get? It’s been a FN decade of LOSING.

I just want to see some competitive basketball- I don’t care if we ever win a ring.. I just want something to root for and see a competitive team play every night



All you listed there is the fault of the careless Devos family and their insistence on loyalty and keeping Alex Martins around. Combined with the transient nature of Orlando, so many people from other places.


Is Alex Martins still a factor? I don't doubt he was during the Hennigan days... This is starting to sound like the "Thanks Obama" jokes when it rains outside.


I agree with this. When they hired Weltman I think they gave him the reigns of the franchise roster wise. Tobias & Oladipo trades were Martins pressuring Hennigan to win now.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#43 » by VFX » Fri Apr 29, 2022 3:39 pm

OrlandoSaban wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:...for being an incredibly successful con man.

He convinced Magic ownership and fans that he should be allowed to continue in his job, even though he has failed to add a star player through 5 drafts and 5 free-agency periods.

But more importantly, he convinced them to give him a green light to tank the franchise and oversee another rebuild, even though there are *already* six players on the *current roster* who were selected in the top 8 of the last five drafts, and all six were acquired by Weltman himself (4 via draft, 2 via trade). How many top-8 picks does he need before fans and ownership say no more tanking? It is the most unbelievable con job I can remember.

These six Weltman acquisitions are all on the current roster, and all were drafted in the top 8 since 2017:

Jalen Suggs -- #5 in 2021
Franz Wagner -- #8 in 2021
Mo Bamba -- #6 in 2018
Wendell Carter, Jr. -- #7 in 2018
Markelle Fultz -- #1 in 2017
Jonathan Isaac -- #6 in 2017

That's a lot of lottery loot for the second-worst team in the NBA. How does the guy who oversaw this still have a job, much less the faith of the organization to keep tanking for high draft picks?

It's even more inexcusable when you consider that some of the best teams in the Eastern Conference are led by players chosen outside the top 4.

Milwaukee
Giannis -- #15
Middleton -- #39

Miami
Butler -- #30
Adebayo -- #14

Toronto
Siakam -- #27
VanVleet -- Undrafted

Chicago
DeRozan -- #9
LaVine -- #13

Atlanta
Young -- #5

At the end of the day I just don't understand how there's so much patience for this dude. He's hit on one draft pick -- Franz -- and even Franz didn't have the kind of impact that really good rookies have on their teams' W-L records. But Welt seems to have everyone convinced that being awful is heading in the "right direction".


I am also sick and tired mid fans refusing to want any change with players.

I have never seen a fanbase so persistent in wanting to keep a bunch of losers who haven’t won anything.

I am sick and tired that it’s always NBA World title or bust mentality with the fanbase.

Right now I would take a treadmill team over this hot garbage

I just want to see some competitive basketball- I don’t care if we ever win a ring.. I just want something to root for and see a competitive team play every night


A lot of this is contradictory.

You are sick of fans refusing to want to change players and keeping a bunch of losers that haven’t proven anything. Then you are ok with tread-milling and not wanting to rely on the draft. So did you love or hate the last decade of Vucevic or not? Genuinely asking.

How does this team acquire said players that can contribute to winning then? Makes no sense. You are basing draft picks on 1 year of year 1 data.

I’d say the fans weren’t “mid” if they wanted to see Orlando actually competing for something other than a first round exit.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#44 » by Skybox » Fri Apr 29, 2022 5:09 pm

"Treadmilling" could also be applied to '80's Clippers or present-day SAC...in the lottery for how many years running? I will never agree that good teams can't improve. Sometimes, you DO have to take a step back to take two forward...but it's like the "cold water boils faster thing" (which is somehow true :roll: ), you can take steps - then pounce, it doesn't have to be (and rarely is) Suck, Suck, Suck, Contend. There are examples of many angles, but great orgs don't jerk around for long. I don't care to be a farm team for the big guys.

(Incidentally, I felt like SAC may have gotten their guy to build with and they traded him for a relic...Sabonis-nice player, but outdated game)
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#45 » by ogmagicfan » Fri Apr 29, 2022 8:18 pm

What bothers me is that they should have dissembled the team after making the playoffs in 2018-2019 season. It was clear a team around Vucevic, Gordon, Fournier, Ross wasn't going to get you to contend and were alot more than a player away. We could gotten alot better haul for Fournier, Gordon, & Ross then and similar haul for Vucevic then.

It's clear they were comfortable not building a contending squad, not sure if that's directed by themselves or Martins/Devos.They came out and said the only reason they traded Vucevic, Gordon, & Fournier was the injuries to Fultz & Isaac.

I think they've been doing fine since then, and hopefully they hold off making a big singing this offseason and give us one more swing at the draft.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#46 » by drsd » Fri Apr 29, 2022 11:00 pm

OrlMagic05 wrote:So you'd rather be 51-51 and swept in the 1st round?.


If Orlando wins half its games and makes the playoffs, yes I would be thrilled. That is real growth.

I think 36 wins might be a more realistic ceiling for next season though.

..
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#47 » by pepe1991 » Sat Apr 30, 2022 12:23 pm

Kings, Magic, PIstons and few others are threadmills lottery teams. Despite being in lottery for ages, never going anywhere.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#48 » by Skybox » Sat Apr 30, 2022 12:57 pm

pepe1991 wrote:Kings, Magic, PIstons and few others are threadmills lottery teams. Despite being in lottery for ages, never going anywhere.


so...do you agree with me that the logical next step is trade for a guy under 26(or so) or so that gets you OUT of the lottery? It's a step, not a finish line, IMO. We have some good young players who won't get much better by themselves.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#49 » by pepe1991 » Sat Apr 30, 2022 1:15 pm

Skybox wrote:
pepe1991 wrote:Kings, Magic, PIstons and few others are threadmills lottery teams. Despite being in lottery for ages, never going anywhere.


so...do you agree with me that the logical next step is trade for a guy under 26(or so) or so that gets you OUT of the lottery? It's a step, not a finish line, IMO. We have some good young players who won't get much better by themselves.


Yes. Imo that should always be only goal of rebuild. Find star , if you can't draft one ( it's clear Magic can't ) make a trade for one.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#50 » by Magic_Kingdom » Sat Apr 30, 2022 10:38 pm

I’m always surprised how many fans still accept tanking when there are so few examples of it working. And again, Weltman has made and acquired multiple recent lottery picks already, all still on the roster, so why does anyone believe he just needs one more pick to turn things around?
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#51 » by ogmagicfan » Sat Apr 30, 2022 11:52 pm

Magic_Kingdom wrote:I’m always surprised how many fans still accept tanking when there are so few examples of it working. And again, Weltman has made and acquired multiple recent lottery picks already, all still on the roster, so why does anyone believe he just needs one more pick to turn things around?


That's a lie that's repeated for no reason. So many teams have been built through the draft. The Magic teams that both contended were built through #1 picks!

Frankly teams who get lucky and snag a #1 pick or atleast 1-3 pick expedite their developing process greatly. The reality is the Magic have been unlucky the past decade in the draft. After being fairly lucky in the draft the draft in the 1st 2 decades you could say it's law of averages in practice.

The Magic holding off from making a push for signing till next year gives us 2 chances (this & next) at a top 3 pick and gives current pieces another year to develop without competing with a star we could sign for the ball, giving them more time to develop, like the Suns (built through the draft) development time before getting Chris Paul.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#52 » by Magic_Kingdom » Sun May 1, 2022 12:45 am

ogmagicfan wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:I’m always surprised how many fans still accept tanking when there are so few examples of it working. And again, Weltman has made and acquired multiple recent lottery picks already, all still on the roster, so why does anyone believe he just needs one more pick to turn things around?


That's a lie that's repeated for no reason. So many teams have been built through the draft. The Magic teams that both contended were built through #1 picks!

Frankly teams who get lucky and snag a #1 pick or atleast 1-3 pick expedite their developing process greatly. The reality is the Magic have been unlucky the past decade in the draft. After being fairly lucky in the draft the draft in the 1st 2 decades you could say it's law of averages in practice.

The Magic holding off from making a push for signing till next year gives us 2 chances (this & next) at a top 3 pick and gives current pieces another year to develop without competing with a star we could sign for the ball, giving them more time to develop, like the Suns (built through the draft) development time before getting Chris Paul.

"Building through the draft" and "tanking" are not synonymous. Tanking is an extreme form of *attempting* to build through the draft. Tanking means dumping all your good players and then holding out healthy players in an effort to intentionally lose to improve your draft lottery odds.

Golden State built their team through the draft but didn't tank. They got Steph at #7, Klay at #11, and Draymond in the second round.

Phoenix partially built through the draft but I don't think you could say they tanked. They got Booker at #13 and then were bad for 2 seasons before drafting Ayton at #1. Even with that, Ayton, their lottery prize, is the third-best player on their team.

Milwaukee built through the draft but didn't tank. They got Giannis at #15 and Middleton in the second round. They traded for Jrue Holdiay.

Toronto doesn't tank but drafts extremely well. They got Siakam late in the first round, VanVleet was undrafted, and after an injury-riddled season they picked fourth and took the Rookie of the Year, Scottie Barnes. Did the Raptors tank this season after getting the 4th pick, the way the Magic blatantly tanked after getting the 5th and 8th picks? No, they made the playoffs and gave the Sixers a scare in the first round. Do you think any Raptors fans would want to trade with us because they feel like they're on a treadmill after losing in the first round? Of course not.

Miami partially built through the draft but refused to tank. They got Adebayo at #14, Herro at #13, and traded for Jimmy Butler.

Even the Magic teams you cited aren't examples of tanking. The Magic team that drafted Shaq #1 was just bad and only three years old. And the Magic team that drafted Dwight #1 had T-Mac and Juwan Howard and was trying to win. They just sucked.

So again, I go back to my original point. There are very few examples of tanking being a successful team-building strategy. And I think part of the reason for that is that losing on purpose, or at the very least accepting losing, takes a psychological toll on your young building blocks. There is also, potentially, no end to tanking. What if the Magic get the sixth pick in this draft? Should they tank again next season? Just keep going until they get a top 2 pick? And if that pick is a bust, keep tanking?
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#53 » by Skybox » Sun May 1, 2022 1:32 am

ogmagicfan wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:I’m always surprised how many fans still accept tanking when there are so few examples of it working. And again, Weltman has made and acquired multiple recent lottery picks already, all still on the roster, so why does anyone believe he just needs one more pick to turn things around?


That's a lie that's repeated for no reason. So many teams have been built through the draft. The Magic teams that both contended were built through #1 picks!

Frankly teams who get lucky and snag a #1 pick or atleast 1-3 pick expedite their developing process greatly. The reality is the Magic have been unlucky the past decade in the draft. After being fairly lucky in the draft the draft in the 1st 2 decades you could say it's law of averages in practice.

The Magic holding off from making a push for signing till next year gives us 2 chances (this & next) at a top 3 pick and gives current pieces another year to develop without competing with a star we could sign for the ball, giving them more time to develop, like the Suns (built through the draft) development time before getting Chris Paul.


So, off the top of my head, who are the blessed #1’s in the playoffs.
Zion
KAT & Ant…legit stars, but eliminated in round 1
Ayton…3rd best guy on great team
Simmons…lol
Kyrie…star, nut, part-time, eliminated first round

Did I miss anyone?
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#54 » by ogmagicfan » Sun May 1, 2022 2:11 am

Magic_Kingdom wrote:
ogmagicfan wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:I’m always surprised how many fans still accept tanking when there are so few examples of it working. And again, Weltman has made and acquired multiple recent lottery picks already, all still on the roster, so why does anyone believe he just needs one more pick to turn things around?


That's a lie that's repeated for no reason. So many teams have been built through the draft. The Magic teams that both contended were built through #1 picks!

Frankly teams who get lucky and snag a #1 pick or atleast 1-3 pick expedite their developing process greatly. The reality is the Magic have been unlucky the past decade in the draft. After being fairly lucky in the draft the draft in the 1st 2 decades you could say it's law of averages in practice.

The Magic holding off from making a push for signing till next year gives us 2 chances (this & next) at a top 3 pick and gives current pieces another year to develop without competing with a star we could sign for the ball, giving them more time to develop, like the Suns (built through the draft) development time before getting Chris Paul.

"Building through the draft" and "tanking" are not synonymous. Tanking is an extreme form of *attempting* to build through the draft. Tanking means dumping all your good players and then holding out healthy players in an effort to intentionally lose to improve your draft lottery odds.

Golden State built their team through the draft but didn't tank. They got Steph at #7, Klay at #11, and Draymond in the second round.

Phoenix partially built through the draft but I don't think you could say they tanked. They got Booker at #13 and then were bad for 2 seasons before drafting Ayton at #1. Even with that, Ayton, their lottery prize, is the third-best player on their team.

Milwaukee built through the draft but didn't tank. They got Giannis at #15 and Middleton in the second round. They traded for Jrue Holdiay.

Toronto doesn't tank but drafts extremely well. They got Siakam late in the first round, VanVleet was undrafted, and after an injury-riddled season they picked fourth and took the Rookie of the Year, Scottie Barnes. Did the Raptors tank this season after getting the 4th pick, the way the Magic blatantly tanked after getting the 5th and 8th picks? No, they made the playoffs and gave the Sixers a scare in the first round. Do you think any Raptors fans would want to trade with us because they feel like they're on a treadmill after losing in the first round? Of course not.

Miami partially built through the draft but refused to tank. They got Adebayo at #14, Herro at #13, and traded for Jimmy Butler.

Even the Magic teams you cited aren't examples of tanking. The Magic team that drafted Shaq #1 was just bad and only three years old. And the Magic team that drafted Dwight #1 had T-Mac and Juwan Howard and was trying to win. They just sucked.

So again, I go back to my original point. There are very few examples of tanking being a successful team-building strategy. And I think part of the reason for that is that losing on purpose, or at the very least accepting losing, takes a psychological toll on your young building blocks. There is also, potentially, no end to tanking. What if the Magic get the sixth pick in this draft? Should they tank again next season? Just keep going until they get a top 2 pick? And if that pick is a bust, keep tanking?


Trading away "good players" isn't what tanking is, it's maximizing assets for future assets that set teams up to contend in the future. Every team does it, sellers & buyers.

Purposely holding out healthy players is not something the Magic did from 2013-2018, we just had a genuinely bad team. Even this season the Magic didn't purposely hold players out until after the All-Star break.

So if we're complaining about tanking, you're complaining about less that 2 months of basketball. Plenty of teams have had longer stretches of "tanking" in the past 10 years by your definition than the Magic. The Suns absolutely held players out and tanked far more the past 10 years than the Magic it's ridiculous to suggest otherwise. The 76ers have contended past 5 years and started their rebuild the same year as the Magic and tanked. The Cavs & Wolves tanked and are 2 of the most promising young teams in the league. The Thunder & Rockets are tanking.

Some teams got lucky tanked for 1 year and got stars like Doncic & Young.

The idea that "tanking" creates a "losing culture" is unproven and has no evidence to back it up. It's nonsense. The 76ers tanked 4 years straight more than any other team in NBA History and went from 28 to 52 wins the next season and have been an contender since 2017. The fact is in 2-3 years at most 4-5 players from the Magic team right now will still be on the team.

Point is there is not one size fits all for building a team. Frankly the Magic aren't a big market team and have to build through the draft more than big markets who have a better chance making a splash through free agency. To sit and say that tanking has reaped benefits for only a few teams isn't true, it's helped a number of teams in varying levels.

Nobody advocating for tanking is saying it's the only way to build a team. But it clearly works, and while we have this window until next offseason to make a big signing because we have number of alotted players on rookie contracts, it gives us flexibility and valuable assets. Young players that we can either keep and develop or trade for a star.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#55 » by bigdogdylan5 » Sun May 1, 2022 2:46 am

Tanking isn’t pleasant but I think it is the way to improve a small market NBA team. NBA you need stars and as a small market you need to draft them. Tanking is at its core improving your chances of getting a top pick to get those stars. There are plenty of examples of a team getting stars in smaller markets to improve especially recently. Hell all you gotta look at is our history. The only times we were actually relevant we drafted stars by being terrible and getting the number one pick. I think your lying to yourself if you would rather be middle of pack with no star no potential forward mobility. I want the chance at a great team. Just my opinion. I have had more enjoyment this year and after trade deadline last year then anytime since Dwight left. Time will tell if this rebuild will be successful but we haven’t even been tanking fully for a full season and half and some of you are literally losing your minds lol.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#56 » by ogmagicfan » Sun May 1, 2022 3:36 am

bigdogdylan5 wrote:Tanking isn’t pleasant but I think it is the way to improve a small market NBA team. NBA you need stars and as a small market you need to draft them. Tanking is at its core improving your chances of getting a top pick to get those stars. There are plenty of examples of a team getting stars in smaller markets to improve especially recently. Hell all you gotta look at is our history. The only times we were actually relevant we drafted stars by being terrible and getting the number one pick. I think your lying to yourself if you would rather be middle of pack with no star no potential forward mobility. I want the chance at a great team. Just my opinion. I have had more enjoyment this year and after trade deadline last year then anytime since Dwight left. Time will tell if this rebuild will be successful but we haven’t even been tanking fully for a full season and half and some of you are literally losing your minds lol.


We already did the middle of the pack thing between 2018-2020 and it was the most disengaged I've ever been as a fan because there was no path to go from that team to contending. No players that were 1st or 2nd options on a contending team. Except some delusional posters thinking we were a Bradley Beal away from contending which was far from the truth.

We even already did the cut the rebuild short thing in 2016 when it was clear the pieces we had weren't sufficient to create a winning team and we saw where that got us! Trading Tobias for pennies on the dollar and a boneheaded Ibaka trade.

For a team that's been doing this recent rebuild for such a short time, why do some posters here have such an adament pressure to expedite the process and get it over with even if it compromises the amount of young assets we can acquire on the cheap, a potential star at that. We have 3 1st rounders the next 2 years that can all potentially be top 10 picks (if Lavine leaves the Bulls could end up a play-in team level), 2 top 5 picks. I want the Magic to win as soon as possible too, but I want to be a contender more than sinply winning just to win.

We have a window for signing free agents until next offseason. That's hypothetically when the Magic would try to make a big free agent signing and go into a "win-now" mindset. If you don't have the patience to wait one more season, that's on you. There is a beauty in the young struggles we see as our players develop.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#57 » by zaymon » Sun May 1, 2022 8:04 am

ogmagicfan wrote:
bigdogdylan5 wrote:Tanking isn’t pleasant but I think it is the way to improve a small market NBA team. NBA you need stars and as a small market you need to draft them. Tanking is at its core improving your chances of getting a top pick to get those stars. There are plenty of examples of a team getting stars in smaller markets to improve especially recently. Hell all you gotta look at is our history. The only times we were actually relevant we drafted stars by being terrible and getting the number one pick. I think your lying to yourself if you would rather be middle of pack with no star no potential forward mobility. I want the chance at a great team. Just my opinion. I have had more enjoyment this year and after trade deadline last year then anytime since Dwight left. Time will tell if this rebuild will be successful but we haven’t even been tanking fully for a full season and half and some of you are literally losing your minds lol.


We already did the middle of the pack thing between 2018-2020 and it was the most disengaged I've ever been as a fan because there was no path to go from that team to contending. No players that were 1st or 2nd options on a contending team. Except some delusional posters thinking we were a Bradley Beal away from contending which was far from the truth.

We even already did the cut the rebuild short thing in 2016 when it was clear the pieces we had weren't sufficient to create a winning team and we saw where that got us! Trading Tobias for pennies on the dollar and a boneheaded Ibaka trade.

For a team that's been doing this recent rebuild for such a short time, why do some posters here have such an adament pressure to expedite the process and get it over with even if it compromises the amount of young assets we can acquire on the cheap, a potential star at that. We have 3 1st rounders the next 2 years that can all potentially be top 10 picks (if Lavine leaves the Bulls could end up a play-in team level), 2 top 5 picks. I want the Magic to win as soon as possible too, but I want to be a contender more than sinply winning just to win.

We have a window for signing free agents until next offseason. That's hypothetically when the Magic would try to make a big free agent signing and go into a "win-now" mindset. If you don't have the patience to wait one more season, that's on you. There is a beauty in the young struggles we see as our players develop.


If we had no path how exactly did we pivot in one trade deadline ?
We had few options when Weltman arrived. Mediocre talent, bad contracts. It took some time, but we changed bad contracts for good contracts, we raised the value of our only very good player and traded him at his peak value.
If you are patient what is the better plan:
1.Start tanking when you have no assets.
2.Start tanking with good contracts and assets.
My money is on Banchero going number 1 !
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#58 » by VFX » Sun May 1, 2022 12:53 pm

Spoiler:
ogmagicfan wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:
ogmagicfan wrote:
That's a lie that's repeated for no reason. So many teams have been built through the draft. The Magic teams that both contended were built through #1 picks!

Frankly teams who get lucky and snag a #1 pick or atleast 1-3 pick expedite their developing process greatly. The reality is the Magic have been unlucky the past decade in the draft. After being fairly lucky in the draft the draft in the 1st 2 decades you could say it's law of averages in practice.

The Magic holding off from making a push for signing till next year gives us 2 chances (this & next) at a top 3 pick and gives current pieces another year to develop without competing with a star we could sign for the ball, giving them more time to develop, like the Suns (built through the draft) development time before getting Chris Paul.

"Building through the draft" and "tanking" are not synonymous. Tanking is an extreme form of *attempting* to build through the draft. Tanking means dumping all your good players and then holding out healthy players in an effort to intentionally lose to improve your draft lottery odds.

Golden State built their team through the draft but didn't tank. They got Steph at #7, Klay at #11, and Draymond in the second round.

Phoenix partially built through the draft but I don't think you could say they tanked. They got Booker at #13 and then were bad for 2 seasons before drafting Ayton at #1. Even with that, Ayton, their lottery prize, is the third-best player on their team.

Milwaukee built through the draft but didn't tank. They got Giannis at #15 and Middleton in the second round. They traded for Jrue Holdiay.

Toronto doesn't tank but drafts extremely well. They got Siakam late in the first round, VanVleet was undrafted, and after an injury-riddled season they picked fourth and took the Rookie of the Year, Scottie Barnes. Did the Raptors tank this season after getting the 4th pick, the way the Magic blatantly tanked after getting the 5th and 8th picks? No, they made the playoffs and gave the Sixers a scare in the first round. Do you think any Raptors fans would want to trade with us because they feel like they're on a treadmill after losing in the first round? Of course not.

Miami partially built through the draft but refused to tank. They got Adebayo at #14, Herro at #13, and traded for Jimmy Butler.

Even the Magic teams you cited aren't examples of tanking. The Magic team that drafted Shaq #1 was just bad and only three years old. And the Magic team that drafted Dwight #1 had T-Mac and Juwan Howard and was trying to win. They just sucked.

So again, I go back to my original point. There are very few examples of tanking being a successful team-building strategy. And I think part of the reason for that is that losing on purpose, or at the very least accepting losing, takes a psychological toll on your young building blocks. There is also, potentially, no end to tanking. What if the Magic get the sixth pick in this draft? Should they tank again next season? Just keep going until they get a top 2 pick? And if that pick is a bust, keep tanking?


Trading away "good players" isn't what tanking is, it's maximizing assets for future assets that set teams up to contend in the future. Every team does it, sellers & buyers.

Purposely holding out healthy players is not something the Magic did from 2013-2018, we just had a genuinely bad team. Even this season the Magic didn't purposely hold players out until after the All-Star break.

So if we're complaining about tanking, you're complaining about less that 2 months of basketball. Plenty of teams have had longer stretches of "tanking" in the past 10 years by your definition than the Magic. The Suns absolutely held players out and tanked far more the past 10 years than the Magic it's ridiculous to suggest otherwise. The 76ers have contended past 5 years and started their rebuild the same year as the Magic and tanked. The Cavs & Wolves tanked and are 2 of the most promising young teams in the league. The Thunder & Rockets are tanking.

Some teams got lucky tanked for 1 year and got stars like Doncic & Young.

The idea that "tanking" creates a "losing culture" is unproven and has no evidence to back it up. It's nonsense. The 76ers tanked 4 years straight more than any other team in NBA History and went from 28 to 52 wins the next season and have been an contender since 2017. The fact is in 2-3 years at most 4-5 players from the Magic team right now will still be on the team.

Point is there is not one size fits all for building a team. Frankly the Magic aren't a big market team and have to build through the draft more than big markets who have a better chance making a splash through free agency. To sit and say that tanking has reaped benefits for only a few teams isn't true, it's helped a number of teams in varying levels.

Nobody advocating for tanking is saying it's the only way to build a team. But it clearly works, and while we have this window until next offseason to make a big signing because we have number of alotted players on rookie contracts, it gives us flexibility and valuable assets. Young players that we can either keep and develop or trade for a star.


Couldn’t agree more with this post.

The Magic weren’t a good team for a number of years, and not because they held out players or were ravaged by injuries. The talent was questionable at best and we are now seeing that as evidenced by what those same players are accomplishing now.

The 76ers example kind of proves the point that they have now gotten further, in the same timeframe, despite blatantly tanking compared to Orlando. The Magic squandered that job by moving Oladipo. Then I see people suggesting Franz/Suggs trades like they haven’t learned from that mistake.

You don’t need to earn the #1 pick to land a star in the draft, but it definitely helps give the FO all the necessary options. People always forget the Shaq and Dwight rosters centered primarily around #1 picks. That was the closest Orlando ever got to accomplishing every teams main goal. That isn’t to say they couldn’t find equally talented players at picks 2-8. Nobody is arguing that.

Orlando hasn’t been lucky enough to land elite Doncic-level talent in 1 year of earning a top pick. Plenty of teams aren’t so lucky. That doesn’t mean you abandon the plan entirely and make bad decisions despite the overwhelming evidence that this organization doesn’t attract talent merely for existing.

Those Vuc led teams were stuck. Orlando had limited movable assets, no star pull, and this isn’t a free agent destination.

The team now is exactly where rebuild advocates want it to be. Anybody crying about the losses this season do NOT see the bigger picture here.

They are fielding a young team and cultivating assets to either establish a core, or make a trade resulting in a roster capable of competing at the highest level. This FO hasn’t yet earned my respect enough to trust they will continue this plan through, but I’m being optimistic.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#59 » by bigdogdylan5 » Sun May 1, 2022 1:32 pm

Magic_Kingdom wrote:
ogmagicfan wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:I’m always surprised how many fans still accept tanking when there are so few examples of it working. And again, Weltman has made and acquired multiple recent lottery picks already, all still on the roster, so why does anyone believe he just needs one more pick to turn things around?


That's a lie that's repeated for no reason. So many teams have been built through the draft. The Magic teams that both contended were built through #1 picks!

Frankly teams who get lucky and snag a #1 pick or atleast 1-3 pick expedite their developing process greatly. The reality is the Magic have been unlucky the past decade in the draft. After being fairly lucky in the draft the draft in the 1st 2 decades you could say it's law of averages in practice.

The Magic holding off from making a push for signing till next year gives us 2 chances (this & next) at a top 3 pick and gives current pieces another year to develop without competing with a star we could sign for the ball, giving them more time to develop, like the Suns (built through the draft) development time before getting Chris Paul.

"Building through the draft" and "tanking" are not synonymous. Tanking is an extreme form of *attempting* to build through the draft. Tanking means dumping all your good players and then holding out healthy players in an effort to intentionally lose to improve your draft lottery odds.

Golden State built their team through the draft but didn't tank. They got Steph at #7, Klay at #11, and Draymond in the second round.

Phoenix partially built through the draft but I don't think you could say they tanked. They got Booker at #13 and then were bad for 2 seasons before drafting Ayton at #1. Even with that, Ayton, their lottery prize, is the third-best player on their team.

Milwaukee built through the draft but didn't tank. They got Giannis at #15 and Middleton in the second round. They traded for Jrue Holdiay.

Toronto doesn't tank but drafts extremely well. They got Siakam late in the first round, VanVleet was undrafted, and after an injury-riddled season they picked fourth and took the Rookie of the Year, Scottie Barnes. Did the Raptors tank this season after getting the 4th pick, the way the Magic blatantly tanked after getting the 5th and 8th picks? No, they made the playoffs and gave the Sixers a scare in the first round. Do you think any Raptors fans would want to trade with us because they feel like they're on a treadmill after losing in the first round? Of course not.

Miami partially built through the draft but refused to tank. They got Adebayo at #14, Herro at #13, and traded for Jimmy Butler.

Even the Magic teams you cited aren't examples of tanking. The Magic team that drafted Shaq #1 was just bad and only three years old. And the Magic team that drafted Dwight #1 had T-Mac and Juwan Howard and was trying to win. They just sucked.

So again, I go back to my original point. There are very few examples of tanking being a successful team-building strategy. And I think part of the reason for that is that losing on purpose, or at the very least accepting losing, takes a psychological toll on your young building blocks. There is also, potentially, no end to tanking. What if the Magic get the sixth pick in this draft? Should they tank again next season? Just keep going until they get a top 2 pick? And if that pick is a bust, keep tanking?

Couple things here. Did we dump Vuc? I would argue we sold at the absolute highest and that might become best magic trade in our history. I guess we dumped Fournier but did you want to pay him all that money? As for holding out players that are healthy. Are you referring to TRoss and Harris or Fultz and Isaac? I am going to call BS if you are mad about TRoss and Harris not playing the vast majority of you told me they have no future with the team. Hell they didn’t stop playing till we were all intensive purposes eliminated from contention. If your referring to Isaac well he is injured so no not healthy. And I would argue Fultz came back at the perfect time. Right at the tale end where he could have gotten some games in for next year and maximized his rehab.

Edit: Also the argument for tanking or against shouldn’t be looking at one of one cases and teams picking a hall of famer at upper lottery picks. It’s all about the probability and numbers of getting a better selection. Yes with the new odds teams are going to move up higher but that is not an argument against tanking. I would still want a 50% chance of top four pick over winning 5-7 more games and having a 20% chance. I don’t believe anyone would advocate tanking if we have a team of young guns and they are successful and are in contention for a playin slot. A la pelicans and phoenix before them.
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I am high on Markelle Fultz. Yes I understand he is not perfect and needs to shoot more and better and turn the ball over less. I would really like to see him play one more year… and I did and he sucks time to move on.
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Re: Weltman deserves more credit... 

Post#60 » by Skybox » Sun May 1, 2022 1:37 pm

MagicMatic wrote:[spoiler]
ogmagicfan wrote:
Magic_Kingdom wrote:
The 76ers example kind of proves the point that they have now gotten further, in the same timeframe, despite blatantly tanking compared to Orlando. The Magic squandered that job by moving Oladipo. Then I see people suggesting Franz/Suggs trades like they haven’t learned from that mistake.

This logic is flawed, you can't point to a bad trade and condemn trading to improve your team-regardless of present status or BS timeline. That's like saying "getting the #1 pick is a bad plan, look at Kwame Brown". Good moves are good. Bad ones are bad. Nobody should be untouchable - It's on Weltman to evaluate quickly and make moves at the highest value. I honestly think Suggs will be very good-but if Fultz is too, and they can't play together effectively, then shifting Suggs(for example) for a better fitting, equivalent talent makes sense.

Orlando had limited movable assets, no star pull, and this isn’t a free agent destination.
That was true but Weltman has put us in position to make good moves now. Young guys, good deals, extra picks, cap space (particularly in an offseason when few others have the same)...if there is a chance to improve the TEAM by moving pieces around, they should do it, even if individual value isn't equal, and as long as it doesn't hamstring the team's chances for further future steps forward. Again, the inferiority complex...this is Florida, the tax-free, weather state where people move to. What is needed to become a free agent destination? Most obviously, having a young star and a young roster with promise...like Mitchell or a similarly bold move -supported by Wagner, Isaac, WCJ, etc. If there's no hope, just yank the team out of here and move them to beautiful championship Milwaukee.

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