ImageImageImage

Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition

Moderators: Domejandro, Calinks, Worm Guts

BlacJacMac
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,971
And1: 3,646
Joined: Aug 25, 2020
       

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#761 » by BlacJacMac » Today 12:05 am

winforlose wrote:
BlacJacMac wrote:
winforlose wrote:
Again Dilly and TSJ would be available as trade value (you can send them wherever or keep them. Presumably they would want to load up on bad salary for assets. TSJ has some prospect value and Dilly has both prospect value and money attached. The point I was making is that Rollins will spend 3 years developing in the tank and making next to nothing and he will want money. But at that point he will be 26 and looking for serious cash. Maybe the Bucks say screw it and see how well he develops, or maybe they move on from him. The cornerstone was Gobert for Turner.


I get that you think Turner is the cornerstone, but IMO, its Rollins. A 23 year-old that could be Ant's running mate for the next decade.

But my other point is TSJ and Dilly aren't near enough value to get you Rollins.


Rudy > Turner. Rudy + Dilly + TSJ is < Turner and Rollins. What do you need to add to that equation to balance it?


I disagree with your math.

Rudy is definitely a better rebounder and a better defender.

Myles is still a really good defender and a much better offensive player.

Rudy is much harder to build around.

Turner makes significantly less money.

Rudy is 4 years older.

All things considered, they probably have similar value.

IF Rudy is better, its not nearly as much of a chasm as the one between Rollins and Dilly + TSJ.

Rollins looks like a young 2-way star at a premiere position. You're going to have to vastly overpay to get the Bucks to move him. Going from Turner to Gobert is not that vast overpay.

And again, I think outside of a Giannis for KAT/Bridges/whatever trade, I don't see the Bucks having any interest in Gobert. Definitely not if they're tanking like you suggest.
winforlose
RealGM
Posts: 13,569
And1: 6,056
Joined: Feb 27, 2020

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#762 » by winforlose » Today 12:10 am

BlacJacMac wrote:
winforlose wrote:
BlacJacMac wrote:
I get that you think Turner is the cornerstone, but IMO, its Rollins. A 23 year-old that could be Ant's running mate for the next decade.

But my other point is TSJ and Dilly aren't near enough value to get you Rollins.


Rudy > Turner. Rudy + Dilly + TSJ is < Turner and Rollins. What do you need to add to that equation to balance it?


I disagree with your math.

Rudy is definitely a better rebounder and a better defender.

Myles is still a really good defender and a much better offensive player.

Rudy is much harder to build around.

Turner makes significantly less money.

Rudy is 4 years older.

All things considered, they probably have similar value.

IF Rudy is better, its not nearly as much of a chasm as the one between Rollins and Dilly + TSJ.

Rollins looks like a young 2-way star at a premiere position. You're going to have to vastly overpay to get the Bucks to move him. Going from Turner to Gobert is not that vast overpay.

And again, I think outside of a Giannis for KAT/Bridges/whatever trade, I don't see the Bucks having any interest in Gobert. Definitely not if they're tanking like you suggest.


How many times do I have say it, this includes 3 team trades with Rudy’s value paying for Turner and the 3rd team paying the Bucks. Or they could trade to stay competitive in which case Bridges/KAT/Rudy might intrigue the Bucks (though with the money I REALLY DOUBT IT.) Far more likely they blow it up, Rudy goes else where and they sell high on Turner.

As for your claim about Turner and Rudy’s relative value, Rudy has more short term win now value to some teams than Turner. Turner fits a style of play as does Rudy.
shrink
RealGM
Posts: 59,704
And1: 19,805
Joined: Sep 26, 2005

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#763 » by shrink » Today 12:20 am

JayTWill wrote:Not a sexy option but what about the idea of a deal based around DDV + filler(Miller + Ingles?) for Mitchell Robinson and Tyler Kolek?

Robinson is a stop gap expiring that solidifies the center rotation providing better defense than the Randle/Reid combo while being possibly the best rebounder in the league.

Kolek provides another natural point guard that sets the table and protects the ball while being more ready than Dilly at the moment and a better point guard than DDV. Doesn't solve the starting point guard issue but he is some I believe he could be a solid bench guard for years if given the opportunity when his jump shot comes around. Already one of the better passers I have seen in the league.

DiVincenzo seems comfortable in MIN finally, and is playing like he did as a starter for the Knicks. He’s #9 in three pointers in the NBA, and he provides a counterbalance on the floor, and on the cap sheet (two cheap years), for Rudy Gobert.

I’m not opposed to trading him back to the Knicks, but it would take a much better offer than this.
Norseman79
Starter
Posts: 2,460
And1: 894
Joined: Jul 26, 2017
     

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#764 » by Norseman79 » Today 12:31 am

Here is the thing, if the trade we make isn't somehow going to bring in a proven starter, why make a trade?
BlacJacMac
Assistant Coach
Posts: 3,971
And1: 3,646
Joined: Aug 25, 2020
       

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#765 » by BlacJacMac » Today 12:41 am

Norseman79 wrote:Here is the thing, if the trade we make isn't somehow going to bring in a proven starter, why make a trade?


Because our bench kind of stinks?
Norseman79
Starter
Posts: 2,460
And1: 894
Joined: Jul 26, 2017
     

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#766 » by Norseman79 » Today 1:31 am

BlacJacMac wrote:
Norseman79 wrote:Here is the thing, if the trade we make isn't somehow going to bring in a proven starter, why make a trade?


Because our bench kind of stinks?


You aren't wrong.
But....
Jaylen Clark is hitting around 38% from 3.
TSJ is bout 39% from 3.
(And neither of these two are being used great or with a viable point guard)
Naz Reid is evening out a bit lately.
...
So whose fault is the bench?

If DD, Rob or Randle can bring back a starting PG, a backup pg, and a back up 5 it makes sense.
minimus
RealGM
Posts: 13,839
And1: 5,309
Joined: Jan 28, 2011
Location: Germany, Stuttgart area
 

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#767 » by minimus » Today 7:39 am

BlacJacMac wrote:
Norseman79 wrote:Here is the thing, if the trade we make isn't somehow going to bring in a proven starter, why make a trade?


Because our bench kind of stinks?


Read on Twitter
minimus
RealGM
Posts: 13,839
And1: 5,309
Joined: Jan 28, 2011
Location: Germany, Stuttgart area
 

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#768 » by minimus » Today 9:02 am

After Dec.15th

BRO IN: Gobert, Tyus Jones
BRO OUT: MPJ

Why for BRO: re-invest massive MPJ contact in Gobert, give all MPJs possessions to young PGs (Saraf, Traore), Danny Wolf and Dёmin

ORL IN: MPJ, DDV
ORL OUT: Suggs, Bitadze

Why for ORL: get a massive expiring contract for next season. Add a lot of firepower

WCJ/Isaac + M.Wagner
Banchero/F.Wagner/Penda
F.Wagner/MPJ/Da Silva
Bane/DDV/Howard
Black/Richardson

MIN IN: Gobert, DDV
MIN OUT: Suggs, Bitadze

Why for MIN: get starting PG in Suggs, temporary starting C and backup defensive minded bigman. Create room to re-sign Clark.

Bitadze/Reid/Beringer + Zikarsky
Randle/McDaniels/Miller
McDaniels/TJ/Clark + Juzang
Edwards/Clark
Suggs/Dillingham/Conley + Hyland
User avatar
Domejandro
Forum Mod - Timberwolves
Forum Mod - Timberwolves
Posts: 20,575
And1: 31,048
Joined: Jul 29, 2014

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#769 » by Domejandro » Today 9:29 am

I can’t overstate how much worse Minnesota becomes in effectively every trade scenario involving Rudy Gobert. Anthony Edwards is Minnesota’s best player, but the team craters when he leaves the court.
minimus
RealGM
Posts: 13,839
And1: 5,309
Joined: Jan 28, 2011
Location: Germany, Stuttgart area
 

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#770 » by minimus » Today 9:55 am

Domejandro wrote:I can’t overstate how much worse Minnesota becomes in effectively every trade scenario involving Rudy Gobert. Anthony Edwards is Minnesota’s best player, but the team craters when he leaves the court.


Gobert is so important, because MIN don't have backup C. But. Bitadze has all tools to become a starting center in MIN. IMO in MIN he can be an elite defensive force playing next to McDaniels, Clark. And in my scenario if we bring Suggs, then this trio (Suggs, McDaniels, Clark) would make opponents life a hell. Not to mention Bitadze is much, much better offensive player than Rudy.



Read on Twitter

Read on Twitter

Read on Twitter
FrenchMinnyFan
Starter
Posts: 2,158
And1: 1,338
Joined: Feb 10, 2023
     

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#771 » by FrenchMinnyFan » Today 11:51 am

Rudy is still a top 3 defender in the NBA. Yes he is getting older but trading him will be a huge step back. We are working well transforming the team in a better offensive one without hurting too much defense level. This is a balance hard to find and this could be just throw without Rudy.
Guest84
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,846
And1: 899
Joined: Dec 13, 2017
 

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#772 » by Guest84 » Today 2:23 pm

Not sure if it’s been mentioned but I’m starting to see more outlets mention James Harden as a potential trade target for the wolves. Also more steam about Randle being moved as well.
KGdaBom
RealGM
Posts: 23,743
And1: 6,521
Joined: Jun 22, 2017
         

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#773 » by KGdaBom » Today 2:27 pm

Guest84 wrote:Not sure if it’s been mentioned but I’m starting to see more outlets mention James Harden as a potential trade target for the wolves. Also more steam about Randle being moved as well.

Harden would be an all in move to win this year. Maybe next. I wouldn't do it.
minimus
RealGM
Posts: 13,839
And1: 5,309
Joined: Jan 28, 2011
Location: Germany, Stuttgart area
 

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#774 » by minimus » Today 2:41 pm

FrenchMinnyFan wrote:Rudy is still a top 3 defender in the NBA. Yes he is getting older but trading him will be a huge step back. We are working well transforming the team in a better offensive one without hurting too much defense level. This is a balance hard to find and this could be just throw without Rudy.


I get it. Rudy is indeed a top-3 drop coverage defender in the NBA. But… Does he offer any kind of defensive versatility? And where does he rank offensively among current NBA bigs? I’m not talking about shooting threes — which I personally think is the most overrated skill for a big man. I do value his screens a lot — they’ve been essential for the shooting leap Edwards has made. But how does Rudy stack up as:
- a passer? (Though he’s improved a lot this season.)
- a rim runner?
- a 50/50 ball hustle guy?

We’ve already seen Finch win key games with Rudy on the bench in crunch time. So… what if you get a big who isn’t a top-3 drop defender (although Bitadze might be top-10 — ORL ranked top-2 in defensive rating the last two years), but who is still top-15 and has a more balanced skillset? That could allow MIN to run a more versatile offense and defense — especially at 1/4 the price of Rudy.
winforlose
RealGM
Posts: 13,569
And1: 6,056
Joined: Feb 27, 2020

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#775 » by winforlose » Today 3:41 pm

Domejandro wrote:I can’t overstate how much worse Minnesota becomes in effectively every trade scenario involving Rudy Gobert. Anthony Edwards is Minnesota’s best player, but the team craters when he leaves the court.


Two things can be true at once. It can be true that the team craters when Rudy is off the floor, and that a lack of a backup C can explain the effect. If you got someone who is a capable defender and rebounder, (not elite like Rudy,) the drop will be less substantial. Simultaneously, the offense will function better with a 5 out big who can space the floor and run.

TLDR: You are correct we need a C but you are incorrect that only Rudy can be that C.
Klomp
Retired Mod
Retired Mod
Posts: 69,848
And1: 23,139
Joined: Jul 08, 2005
Contact:
   

Re: Trade Talk (Part 18): Early Season Panic Edition 

Post#776 » by Klomp » Today 4:15 pm

Domejandro wrote:I can’t overstate how much worse Minnesota becomes in effectively every trade scenario involving Rudy Gobert. Anthony Edwards is Minnesota’s best player, but the team craters when he leaves the court.

I think part of it is an understanding that the team would have to change its identity. Yes, the defense craters when he's not on the court but the offense also oftentimes levels up at the same time.
tsherkin wrote:The important thing to take away here is that Klomp is wrong.
Esohny wrote:Why are you asking Klomp? "He's" actually a bot that posts random blurbs from a database.
Klomp wrote:I'm putting the tired in retired mod at the moment

Return to Minnesota Timberwolves